Probability that a man will outlive a woman by country
The probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.
Countries reporting
232
Highest
49.1%
Nigeria
Lowest
26.6%
United States Virgin Islands
Median
39.3%
Years covered
273
1751–2023
Data points
18,722
What the numbers show
Probability that a man will outlive a woman is currently reported for 232 countries. The highest value is 49.1% in Nigeria; the lowest is 26.6% in United States Virgin Islands.
The median across all reporting countries is 39.3%, and the mean is 39.1%.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 2.
Over the past decade 98 countries rose and 132 fell. The largest increase was in Saint Barthelemy (up 30.3%), and the largest decrease in Palestine (down 17.0%).
Probability that a man will outlive a woman: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 49.1% | 2023 | up 0.2% | rising |
| 2 | Togo | 48.7% | 2023 | up 0.3% | rising |
| 3 | Guinea | 46.9% | 2023 | up 0.5% | flat |
| 4 | Bahrain | 46.7% | 2023 | up 1.3% | flat |
| 5 | Niger | 46.5% | 2023 | down 1.8% | flat |
| 6 | Liberia | 46.3% | 2023 | down 1.1% | falling |
| 7 | Benin | 46.1% | 2023 | down 2.9% | flat |
| 8 | Mali | 45.4% | 2023 | down 2.5% | flat |
| 9 | Madagascar | 45.2% | 2023 | down 0.7% | flat |
| 10 | Chad | 45.2% | 2023 | down 4.9% | flat |
| 11 | Gambia | 45.1% | 2023 | down 3.2% | falling |
| 12 | Qatar | 44.8% | 2023 | down 2.5% | rising |
| 12 | Sierra Leone | 44.8% | 2023 | down 5.5% | flat |
| 14 | Central African Republic | 44.6% | 2023 | up 2.1% | falling |
| 15 | Equatorial Guinea | 44.5% | 2023 | down 2.6% | rising |
| 16 | Afghanistan | 44.4% | 2023 | down 0.5% | falling |
| 17 | Libya | 44.4% | 2023 | up 13.1% | falling |
| 18 | Democratic Republic of Congo | 44.3% | 2023 | down 3.1% | falling |
| 19 | Solomon Islands | 44.2% | 2023 | up 1.5% | falling |
| 20 | Burundi | 44.1% | 2023 | down 3.9% | falling |
| 21 | Cote d'Ivoire | 44.1% | 2023 | down 3.5% | flat |
| 22 | Congo | 44.0% | 2023 | down 3.0% | flat |
| 23 | India | 44.0% | 2023 | up 0.8% | falling |
| 24 | United Arab Emirates | 44.0% | 2023 | down 4.5% | rising |
| 25 | Nepal | 43.8% | 2023 | down 1.7% | falling |
| 25 | East Timor | 43.8% | 2023 | down 1.2% | falling |
| 27 | Kuwait | 43.8% | 2023 | up 0.6% | falling |
| 28 | Kiribati | 43.7% | 2023 | down 0.9% | falling |
| 28 | Somalia | 43.7% | 2023 | down 3.6% | flat |
| 30 | Eritrea | 43.7% | 2023 | down 1.6% | flat |
| 31 | Bangladesh | 43.7% | 2023 | up 4.4% | falling |
| 32 | Wallis and Futuna | 43.4% | 2023 | up 2.9% | falling |
| 33 | Burkina Faso | 43.4% | 2023 | down 3.9% | falling |
| 34 | Algeria | 43.2% | 2023 | down 4.4% | falling |
| 35 | Cameroon | 43.0% | 2023 | down 4.6% | falling |
| 36 | Ghana | 43.0% | 2023 | down 4.8% | flat |
| 37 | Kenya | 42.9% | 2023 | down 3.2% | falling |
| 38 | Greenland | 42.8% | 2023 | down 1.1% | flat |
| 40 | Guinea-Bissau | 42.7% | 2023 | down 3.6% | flat |
| 41 | Guatemala | 42.6% | 2023 | up 1.5% | falling |
| 42 | Nauru | 42.6% | 2023 | up 8.2% | falling |
| 43 | Senegal | 42.4% | 2023 | down 0.9% | falling |
| 44 | Rwanda | 42.4% | 2023 | down 2.7% | falling |
| 45 | Chile | 42.4% | 2023 | up 3.8% | falling |
| 46 | Lesotho | 42.3% | 2023 | down 3.3% | rising |
| 47 | Yemen | 42.3% | 2023 | down 1.4% | falling |
| 48 | Zimbabwe | 42.3% | 2023 | down 8.5% | rising |
| 49 | South Sudan | 42.3% | 2023 | down 8.5% | flat |
| 50 | Iraq | 42.2% | 2023 | up 1.3% | flat |
| 51 | Mauritania | 42.2% | 2023 | down 0.3% | falling |
| 52 | Western Sahara | 42.1% | 2023 | down 3.2% | falling |
| 53 | Comoros | 42.0% | 2023 | down 4.0% | falling |
| 54 | Albania | 42.0% | 2023 | up 5.9% | falling |
| 54 | Zambia | 42.0% | 2023 | down 6.2% | falling |
| 56 | Iran | 41.9% | 2023 | down 1.3% | falling |
| 57 | New Zealand | 41.9% | 2023 | up 2.4% | flat |
| 58 | Bolivia | 41.9% | 2023 | down 2.2% | falling |
| 59 | Angola | 41.9% | 2023 | down 3.4% | falling |
| 60 | Bhutan | 41.8% | 2023 | down 4.1% | falling |
| 61 | Laos | 41.8% | 2023 | down 1.9% | falling |
| 62 | Cambodia | 41.7% | 2023 | down 2.6% | falling |
| 63 | North Korea | 41.6% | 2023 | up 4.1% | falling |
| 64 | Fiji | 41.6% | 2023 | up 0.2% | falling |
| 65 | Oman | 41.5% | 2023 | down 1.2% | falling |
| 66 | Samoa | 41.4% | 2023 | up 3.0% | falling |
| 67 | Pakistan | 41.4% | 2023 | down 2.3% | falling |
| 68 | Peru | 41.4% | 2023 | down 2.5% | falling |
| 69 | Gabon | 41.3% | 2023 | down 4.1% | flat |
| 70 | Mexico | 41.3% | 2023 | down 1.2% | falling |
| 71 | Marshall Islands | 41.2% | 2023 | down 2.0% | rising |
| 72 | Saudi Arabia | 41.1% | 2023 | down 3.5% | falling |
| 73 | Botswana | 41.1% | 2023 | down 7.1% | flat |
| 73 | Norway | 41.1% | 2023 | up 3.7% | falling |
| 75 | United Kingdom | 41.1% | 2023 | up 0.3% | falling |
| 75 | Maldives | 41.1% | 2023 | down 2.8% | falling |
| 77 | Iceland | 41.0% | 2023 | down 2.5% | falling |
| 77 | Eswatini | 41.0% | 2023 | down 8.2% | falling |
| 79 | Sudan | 41.0% | 2023 | down 2.2% | falling |
| 80 | Netherlands | 40.9% | 2023 | up 2.2% | falling |
| 81 | Indonesia | 40.9% | 2023 | down 2.9% | falling |
| 82 | Northern Mariana Islands | 40.8% | 2023 | down 0.0% | flat |
| 82 | Uganda | 40.8% | 2023 | down 6.0% | falling |
| 84 | Tajikistan | 40.8% | 2023 | up 0.1% | falling |
| 85 | Tanzania | 40.7% | 2023 | down 7.5% | falling |
| 86 | San Marino | 40.7% | 2023 | up 2.9% | rising |
| 87 | Isle of Man | 40.6% | 2023 | down 5.5% | rising |
| 88 | Syria | 40.6% | 2023 | up 16.5% | falling |
| 89 | Israel | 40.5% | 2023 | down 3.8% | falling |
| 90 | Palau | 40.4% | 2023 | up 9.3% | flat |
| 91 | Malaysia | 40.3% | 2023 | down 0.6% | falling |
| 92 | Jamaica | 40.3% | 2023 | down 3.2% | falling |
| 93 | United States | 40.3% | 2023 | down 0.3% | falling |
| 94 | Vanuatu | 40.3% | 2023 | up 1.1% | falling |
| 95 | Sweden | 40.2% | 2023 | down 0.9% | falling |
| 96 | Ethiopia | 40.2% | 2023 | down 7.4% | flat |
| 97 | Liechtenstein | 40.2% | 2023 | up 2.3% | flat |
| 98 | Brunei | 40.2% | 2023 | down 0.2% | falling |
| 99 | Tokelau | 40.1% | 2023 | down 0.9% | falling |
| 100 | Luxembourg | 40.0% | 2023 | down 0.7% | flat |
| 101 | Egypt | 40.0% | 2023 | up 1.0% | falling |
| 101 | Lebanon | 40.0% | 2023 | up 0.1% | falling |
| 103 | Papua New Guinea | 40.0% | 2023 | down 2.6% | falling |
| 105 | Australia | 40.0% | 2023 | up 0.7% | falling |
| 106 | Canada | 39.9% | 2023 | down 0.7% | falling |
| 107 | Cuba | 39.9% | 2023 | down 4.0% | falling |
| 108 | Denmark | 39.9% | 2023 | down 0.5% | falling |
| 109 | Nicaragua | 39.9% | 2023 | up 1.4% | falling |
| 110 | Mozambique | 39.8% | 2023 | down 10.7% | falling |
| 111 | Ireland | 39.7% | 2023 | down 0.6% | falling |
| 112 | Switzerland | 39.6% | 2023 | up 1.9% | falling |
| 113 | Haiti | 39.5% | 2023 | down 5.9% | falling |
| 114 | New Caledonia | 39.5% | 2023 | up 4.4% | falling |
| 115 | Myanmar | 39.4% | 2023 | down 2.9% | falling |
| 116 | Ecuador | 39.4% | 2023 | down 2.1% | falling |
| 117 | Morocco | 39.3% | 2023 | down 7.1% | falling |
| 118 | Costa Rica | 39.3% | 2023 | up 0.6% | falling |
| 119 | Niue | 39.3% | 2023 | up 1.2% | falling |
| 120 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 39.2% | 2023 | down 1.9% | falling |
| 121 | Cyprus | 39.1% | 2023 | up 4.0% | flat |
| 121 | North Macedonia | 39.1% | 2023 | up 0.8% | falling |
| 123 | Jersey | 39.1% | 2023 | up 4.6% | flat |
| 124 | Falkland Islands | 39.0% | 2023 | down 3.2% | falling |
| 125 | South Africa | 39.0% | 2023 | down 4.6% | falling |
| 126 | Argentina | 39.0% | 2023 | up 2.2% | flat |
| 127 | Malawi | 38.9% | 2023 | down 7.3% | falling |
| 128 | Honduras | 38.9% | 2023 | down 2.8% | falling |
| 129 | Andorra | 38.9% | 2023 | up 1.9% | flat |
| 130 | Belgium | 38.8% | 2023 | up 2.9% | falling |
| 131 | Colombia | 38.8% | 2023 | unchanged | falling |
| 132 | Belize | 38.7% | 2023 | down 1.3% | falling |
| 133 | Italy | 38.7% | 2023 | up 2.8% | falling |
| 134 | Faroe Islands | 38.7% | 2023 | up 2.0% | falling |
| 135 | American Samoa | 38.6% | 2023 | down 1.0% | falling |
| 136 | Jordan | 38.6% | 2023 | down 3.7% | falling |
| 136 | Mauritius | 38.6% | 2023 | up 3.0% | falling |
| 138 | Brazil | 38.5% | 2023 | up 0.1% | falling |
| 139 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 38.5% | 2023 | up 1.1% | falling |
| 140 | Monaco | 38.4% | 2023 | up 9.0% | falling |
| 141 | Turkmenistan | 38.4% | 2023 | up 1.2% | falling |
| 142 | Cayman Islands | 38.3% | 2023 | down 0.4% | falling |
| 143 | Germany | 38.3% | 2023 | up 1.0% | falling |
| 144 | Philippines | 38.3% | 2023 | up 1.1% | falling |
| 145 | Dominican Republic | 38.2% | 2023 | up 1.6% | falling |
| 145 | Paraguay | 38.2% | 2023 | down 2.4% | falling |
| 147 | Trinidad and Tobago | 38.2% | 2023 | down 0.3% | falling |
| 148 | Vatican | 38.1% | 2023 | up 1.8% | falling |
| 149 | Barbados | 38.1% | 2023 | down 4.9% | falling |
| 150 | Austria | 38.1% | 2023 | up 1.5% | falling |
| 151 | Tunisia | 38.1% | 2023 | down 2.9% | falling |
| 152 | Malta | 38.1% | 2023 | up 5.4% | falling |
| 153 | Gibraltar | 38.1% | 2023 | up 0.2% | falling |
| 153 | Greece | 38.1% | 2023 | up 4.4% | falling |
| 153 | Montserrat | 38.1% | 2023 | down 2.0% | falling |
| 156 | Singapore | 37.9% | 2023 | down 3.4% | rising |
| 157 | Panama | 37.9% | 2023 | down 0.2% | falling |
| 158 | Macao | 37.9% | 2023 | up 4.9% | falling |
| 159 | Azerbaijan | 37.6% | 2023 | up 1.6% | falling |
| 159 | Grenada | 37.6% | 2023 | down 4.0% | falling |
| 161 | Suriname | 37.6% | 2023 | up 0.3% | falling |
| 161 | Guernsey | 37.6% | 2023 | down 4.0% | rising |
| 163 | Bahamas | 37.5% | 2023 | down 1.7% | falling |
| 164 | Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba | 37.5% | 2023 | up 6.4% | falling |
| 165 | Aruba | 37.4% | 2023 | up 2.4% | falling |
| 166 | Reunion | 37.2% | 2023 | up 2.1% | falling |
| 167 | Antigua and Barbuda | 37.1% | 2023 | up 5.6% | falling |
| 167 | Dominica | 37.1% | 2023 | down 5.0% | falling |
| 169 | French Polynesia | 37.1% | 2023 | up 2.1% | falling |
| 170 | British Virgin Islands | 37.1% | 2023 | down 0.9% | falling |
| 171 | Tuvalu | 37.0% | 2023 | down 3.6% | falling |
| 172 | Taiwan | 36.9% | 2023 | up 1.9% | falling |
| 173 | Guyana | 36.9% | 2023 | down 2.7% | falling |
| 174 | Namibia | 36.8% | 2023 | down 10.8% | falling |
| 174 | Venezuela | 36.8% | 2023 | up 2.6% | falling |
| 176 | Slovenia | 36.8% | 2023 | up 3.5% | falling |
| 177 | Guam | 36.8% | 2023 | unchanged | falling |
| 178 | Uzbekistan | 36.7% | 2023 | down 3.8% | falling |
| 179 | Turkey | 36.6% | 2023 | up 3.4% | falling |
| 180 | Hong Kong | 36.5% | 2023 | up 3.5% | rising |
| 180 | French Guiana | 36.5% | 2023 | down 3.4% | falling |
| 182 | France | 36.5% | 2023 | up 3.5% | falling |
| 183 | Portugal | 36.5% | 2023 | up 2.8% | falling |
| 184 | Czechia | 36.4% | 2023 | up 1.3% | falling |
| 185 | Finland | 36.2% | 2023 | up 0.3% | falling |
| 186 | Seychelles | 36.1% | 2023 | up 1.3% | falling |
| 187 | Cape Verde | 36.1% | 2023 | up 2.8% | falling |
| 188 | Sint Maarten (Dutch part) | 36.1% | 2023 | down 0.2% | falling |
| 189 | Spain | 36.0% | 2023 | up 1.1% | falling |
| 190 | Micronesia (country) | 35.9% | 2023 | down 8.6% | falling |
| 191 | China | 35.9% | 2023 | down 5.2% | falling |
| 193 | Tonga | 35.7% | 2023 | up 0.4% | falling |
| 194 | Saint Barthelemy | 35.6% | 2023 | up 30.3% | falling |
| 195 | Thailand | 35.5% | 2023 | down 1.7% | falling |
| 196 | Saint Lucia | 35.5% | 2023 | down 6.7% | falling |
| 197 | Sao Tome and Principe | 35.5% | 2023 | down 9.2% | falling |
| 198 | El Salvador | 35.4% | 2023 | down 1.7% | falling |
| 199 | Hungary | 35.4% | 2023 | up 1.7% | falling |
| 200 | Serbia | 35.3% | 2023 | down 1.1% | falling |
| 202 | Slovakia | 35.3% | 2023 | up 4.3% | falling |
| 203 | Cook Islands | 35.1% | 2023 | up 1.8% | falling |
| 204 | Sri Lanka | 35.1% | 2023 | down 0.5% | falling |
| 205 | Puerto Rico | 35.0% | 2023 | down 7.1% | falling |
| 206 | Kyrgyzstan | 35.0% | 2023 | up 1.4% | falling |
| 207 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 34.9% | 2023 | down 3.7% | falling |
| 208 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 34.9% | 2023 | up 2.5% | falling |
| 209 | Croatia | 34.8% | 2023 | up 1.8% | falling |
| 210 | Uruguay | 34.7% | 2023 | up 1.5% | falling |
| 211 | Montenegro | 34.6% | 2023 | down 6.3% | falling |
| 212 | Romania | 34.5% | 2023 | down 2.3% | falling |
| 213 | Bulgaria | 34.4% | 2023 | down 0.1% | falling |
| 214 | Poland | 34.3% | 2023 | up 2.8% | falling |
| 215 | Anguilla | 34.2% | 2023 | up 3.0% | falling |
| 216 | Saint Helena | 34.0% | 2023 | down 2.2% | falling |
| 217 | Palestine | 33.8% | 2023 | down 17.0% | falling |
| 218 | Japan | 33.6% | 2023 | up 0.7% | falling |
| 219 | South Korea | 33.5% | 2023 | up 2.8% | falling |
| 220 | Kazakhstan | 33.0% | 2023 | up 4.4% | falling |
| 221 | Vietnam | 32.6% | 2023 | down 1.2% | falling |
| 222 | Moldova | 32.4% | 2023 | down 2.6% | falling |
| 223 | Bermuda | 32.3% | 2023 | up 7.7% | falling |
| 224 | Saint Martin (French part) | 32.2% | 2023 | down 0.6% | falling |
| 225 | Armenia | 32.2% | 2023 | down 4.1% | falling |
| 226 | Mongolia | 32.1% | 2023 | down 4.9% | falling |
| 227 | Estonia | 31.8% | 2023 | up 1.4% | falling |
| 228 | Latvia | 31.3% | 2023 | up 0.6% | falling |
| 229 | Saint Pierre and Miquelon | 30.8% | 2023 | up 0.5% | flat |
| 230 | Curacao | 30.7% | 2023 | down 6.8% | falling |
| 231 | Lithuania | 30.5% | 2023 | up 3.6% | falling |
| 232 | Georgia | 30.3% | 2023 | down 4.1% | falling |
| 233 | Russia | 29.8% | 2023 | down 0.4% | falling |
| 234 | Belarus | 29.8% | 2023 | up 4.7% | falling |
| 235 | Ukraine | 28.9% | 2023 | down 6.7% | falling |
| 236 | United States Virgin Islands | 26.6% | 2023 | down 11.5% | falling |
About this data
The probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.