Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tanzania
Tanzania: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 40.7% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
40.7%
Change on year
down 0.4%
World rank
85th
of 236 countries
All-time high
47.6%
in 1999
All-time low
39.2%
in 2020
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tanzania, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Tanzania recorded 40.7% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
The figure is down 0.4% on the previous year and down 7.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tanzania peaked at 47.6% in 1999 and was at its lowest, 39.2%, in 2020.
That places Tanzania 85th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tanzania, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 47.0% | — |
| 1951 | 46.9% | -0.1% |
| 1952 | 46.9% | -0.0% |
| 1953 | 47.0% | +0.1% |
| 1954 | 46.9% | -0.1% |
| 1955 | 46.9% | -0.0% |
| 1956 | 46.9% | -0.0% |
| 1957 | 47.0% | +0.3% |
| 1958 | 47.0% | +0.0% |
| 1959 | 46.9% | -0.1% |
| 1960 | 47.0% | +0.1% |
| 1961 | 47.1% | +0.1% |
| 1962 | 47.2% | +0.2% |
| 1963 | 47.2% | +0.1% |
| 1964 | 47.3% | +0.2% |
| 1965 | 47.4% | +0.3% |
| 1966 | 47.4% | -0.0% |
| 1967 | 47.0% | -1.0% |
| 1968 | 46.7% | -0.6% |
| 1969 | 46.6% | -0.3% |
| 1970 | 46.3% | -0.5% |
| 1971 | 46.2% | -0.3% |
| 1972 | 46.1% | -0.2% |
| 1973 | 45.9% | -0.5% |
| 1974 | 45.7% | -0.3% |
| 1975 | 45.6% | -0.2% |
| 1976 | 45.4% | -0.6% |
| 1977 | 45.2% | -0.4% |
| 1978 | 45.0% | -0.4% |
| 1979 | 45.1% | +0.2% |
| 1980 | 44.7% | -0.9% |
| 1981 | 44.4% | -0.8% |
| 1982 | 44.1% | -0.6% |
| 1983 | 43.9% | -0.4% |
| 1984 | 44.1% | +0.4% |
| 1985 | 44.3% | +0.5% |
| 1986 | 44.6% | +0.7% |
| 1987 | 45.0% | +0.8% |
| 1988 | 45.4% | +0.9% |
| 1989 | 45.5% | +0.4% |
| 1990 | 45.6% | +0.2% |
| 1991 | 45.8% | +0.4% |
| 1992 | 45.9% | +0.2% |
| 1993 | 46.2% | +0.5% |
| 1994 | 46.4% | +0.6% |
| 1995 | 46.6% | +0.4% |
| 1996 | 46.9% | +0.7% |
| 1997 | 47.1% | +0.5% |
| 1998 | 47.5% | +0.7% |
| 1999 | 47.6% | +0.3% |
| 2000 | 47.3% | -0.7% |
| 2001 | 47.0% | -0.6% |
| 2002 | 46.9% | -0.2% |
| 2003 | 46.6% | -0.6% |
| 2004 | 46.4% | -0.5% |
| 2005 | 46.1% | -0.4% |
| 2006 | 45.7% | -1.0% |
| 2007 | 45.4% | -0.7% |
| 2008 | 45.2% | -0.5% |
| 2009 | 45.2% | +0.1% |
| 2010 | 44.8% | -1.0% |
| 2011 | 44.7% | -0.3% |
| 2012 | 44.2% | -1.1% |
| 2013 | 44.0% | -0.5% |
| 2014 | 43.2% | -1.7% |
| 2015 | 43.0% | -0.6% |
| 2016 | 42.4% | -1.2% |
| 2017 | 41.8% | -1.5% |
| 2018 | 41.1% | -1.7% |
| 2019 | 40.5% | -1.5% |
| 2020 | 39.2% | -3.0% |
| 2021 | 40.2% | +2.4% |
| 2022 | 40.9% | +1.7% |
| 2023 | 40.7% | -0.4% |
Tanzania compared with similar countries
- Tanzania's 40.7% is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 41.9%, 97% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Tanzania's 40.7% is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 42.6%, 96% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 46.9% | 46.9% | 47.0% | 10 |
| 1960s | 47.1% | 46.6% | 47.4% | 10 |
| 1970s | 45.7% | 45.0% | 46.3% | 10 |
| 1980s | 44.6% | 43.9% | 45.5% | 10 |
| 1990s | 46.6% | 45.6% | 47.6% | 10 |
| 2000s | 46.2% | 45.2% | 47.3% | 10 |
| 2010s | 43.0% | 40.5% | 44.8% | 10 |
| 2020s | 40.2% | 39.2% | 40.9% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Tanzania
- 82 Northern Mariana Islands 40.8% compare
- 82 Uganda 40.8% compare
- 84 Tajikistan 40.8% compare
- 86 San Marino 40.7% compare
- 87 Isle of Man 40.6% compare
- 88 Syria 40.6% compare
More gender data for Tanzania
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 33,294 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth 2.01 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 47,619 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 47,619 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 3.22 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 1.16 million (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 1.19 million (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 1.13 million (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 1.16 million (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 1.11 million (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tanzania?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tanzania was 40.7% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Tanzania?
- The highest recorded value was 47.6% in 1999.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Tanzania?
- The lowest recorded value was 39.2% in 2020.
- How does Tanzania rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Tanzania ranks 85th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Tanzania?
- Over the last ten years it is down 7.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Tanzania data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.