Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guernsey
Guernsey: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 37.6% in 2023. ▲ Rising
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guernsey, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guernsey stood at 37.6%.
The figure is down 0.5% on the previous year and down 4.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guernsey peaked at 41.7% in 1999 and was at its lowest, 28.9%, in 1963.
That places Guernsey 161st out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guernsey, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 37.6% | — |
| 1951 | 37.6% | -0.1% |
| 1952 | 40.7% | +8.3% |
| 1953 | 34.4% | -15.6% |
| 1954 | 38.4% | +11.8% |
| 1955 | 39.6% | +3.1% |
| 1956 | 35.5% | -10.4% |
| 1957 | 34.4% | -3.0% |
| 1958 | 38.1% | +10.8% |
| 1959 | 33.8% | -11.4% |
| 1960 | 39.6% | +17.3% |
| 1961 | 37.4% | -5.7% |
| 1962 | 35.9% | -4.0% |
| 1963 | 28.9% | -19.5% |
| 1964 | 38.2% | +32.3% |
| 1965 | 40.6% | +6.2% |
| 1966 | 40.7% | +0.4% |
| 1967 | 38.2% | -6.3% |
| 1968 | 36.2% | -5.0% |
| 1969 | 37.6% | +3.8% |
| 1970 | 38.3% | +1.8% |
| 1971 | 36.7% | -4.2% |
| 1972 | 38.1% | +3.9% |
| 1973 | 35.7% | -6.4% |
| 1974 | 33.6% | -5.9% |
| 1975 | 35.1% | +4.5% |
| 1976 | 36.0% | +2.5% |
| 1977 | 35.6% | -0.9% |
| 1978 | 37.6% | +5.4% |
| 1979 | 37.2% | -1.1% |
| 1980 | 38.9% | +4.5% |
| 1981 | 34.3% | -11.6% |
| 1982 | 40.7% | +18.6% |
| 1983 | 36.6% | -10.1% |
| 1984 | 36.4% | -0.5% |
| 1985 | 33.5% | -8.1% |
| 1986 | 38.4% | +14.8% |
| 1987 | 36.5% | -4.9% |
| 1988 | 33.7% | -7.7% |
| 1989 | 36.0% | +6.8% |
| 1990 | 40.4% | +12.3% |
| 1991 | 32.8% | -18.8% |
| 1992 | 35.1% | +7.1% |
| 1993 | 36.4% | +3.4% |
| 1994 | 39.6% | +9.1% |
| 1995 | 36.3% | -8.5% |
| 1996 | 39.5% | +9.0% |
| 1997 | 37.1% | -6.3% |
| 1998 | 36.5% | -1.6% |
| 1999 | 41.7% | +14.3% |
| 2000 | 37.9% | -9.0% |
| 2001 | 37.7% | -0.6% |
| 2002 | 37.8% | +0.3% |
| 2003 | 38.3% | +1.3% |
| 2004 | 38.2% | -0.3% |
| 2005 | 38.5% | +0.7% |
| 2006 | 38.1% | -0.8% |
| 2007 | 38.4% | +0.7% |
| 2008 | 38.6% | +0.5% |
| 2009 | 38.3% | -0.8% |
| 2010 | 38.7% | +1.1% |
| 2011 | 38.7% | +0.1% |
| 2012 | 39.4% | +1.8% |
| 2013 | 39.1% | -0.7% |
| 2014 | 39.1% | +0.0% |
| 2015 | 39.5% | +0.8% |
| 2016 | 39.5% | +0.2% |
| 2017 | 38.5% | -2.7% |
| 2018 | 37.3% | -3.1% |
| 2019 | 38.2% | +2.5% |
| 2020 | 38.0% | -0.5% |
| 2021 | 38.5% | +1.1% |
| 2022 | 37.7% | -1.9% |
| 2023 | 37.6% | -0.5% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 37.0% | 33.8% | 40.7% | 10 |
| 1960s | 37.3% | 28.9% | 40.7% | 10 |
| 1970s | 36.4% | 33.6% | 38.3% | 10 |
| 1980s | 36.5% | 33.5% | 40.7% | 10 |
| 1990s | 37.5% | 32.8% | 41.7% | 10 |
| 2000s | 38.2% | 37.7% | 38.6% | 10 |
| 2010s | 38.8% | 37.3% | 39.5% | 10 |
| 2020s | 38.0% | 37.6% | 38.5% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Guernsey
More gender data for Guernsey
- Sex ratio at birth 105.08 males per 100 females (2023)
- Sex ratio at age 5 101.77 males per 100 females (2023)
- Sex ratio by age 17.39 males per 100 females (2023)
- Sex ratio at birth vs. at five years old 105.08 males per 100 females (2023)
- Probability of dying that year, among females 0.5% (2023)
- Sex ratio at age 60 95.22 males per 100 females (2023)
- Male population by age group 1,328 people (2023)
- Female population by age group 1,256 people (2023)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guernsey?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guernsey was 37.6% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Guernsey?
- The highest recorded value was 41.7% in 1999.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Guernsey?
- The lowest recorded value was 28.9% in 1963.
- How does Guernsey rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Guernsey ranks 161st out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Guernsey?
- Over the last ten years it is down 4.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Guernsey data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.