Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Mexico
Mexico: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 41.3% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
41.3%
Change on year
up 2.1%
World rank
70th
of 236 countries
All-time high
46.6%
in 1956
All-time low
37.4%
in 2020
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Mexico, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Mexico stood at 41.3%.
That represents a change of up 2.1% on the previous year and down 1.2% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Mexico peaked at 46.6% in 1956 and was at its lowest, 37.4%, in 2020.
That places Mexico 70th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Mexico, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 46.5% | — |
| 1951 | 46.3% | -0.3% |
| 1952 | 46.2% | -0.4% |
| 1953 | 46.3% | +0.3% |
| 1954 | 46.5% | +0.4% |
| 1955 | 46.6% | +0.2% |
| 1956 | 46.6% | +0.1% |
| 1957 | 46.4% | -0.4% |
| 1958 | 46.3% | -0.2% |
| 1959 | 46.1% | -0.5% |
| 1960 | 45.8% | -0.7% |
| 1961 | 46.4% | +1.4% |
| 1962 | 46.4% | -0.2% |
| 1963 | 46.1% | -0.5% |
| 1964 | 45.4% | -1.6% |
| 1965 | 44.9% | -1.2% |
| 1966 | 44.7% | -0.3% |
| 1967 | 43.9% | -2.0% |
| 1968 | 44.1% | +0.6% |
| 1969 | 44.1% | +0.1% |
| 1970 | 44.7% | +1.3% |
| 1971 | 44.6% | -0.3% |
| 1972 | 44.5% | -0.2% |
| 1973 | 43.8% | -1.6% |
| 1974 | 43.4% | -1.0% |
| 1975 | 42.8% | -1.2% |
| 1976 | 42.7% | -0.4% |
| 1977 | 42.3% | -1.0% |
| 1978 | 41.9% | -0.9% |
| 1979 | 41.4% | -1.1% |
| 1980 | 41.0% | -0.9% |
| 1981 | 40.8% | -0.5% |
| 1982 | 40.8% | -0.1% |
| 1983 | 41.0% | +0.4% |
| 1984 | 41.1% | +0.4% |
| 1985 | 41.3% | +0.4% |
| 1986 | 41.4% | +0.3% |
| 1987 | 41.3% | -0.2% |
| 1988 | 41.3% | -0.0% |
| 1989 | 41.2% | -0.2% |
| 1990 | 41.2% | +0.0% |
| 1991 | 41.1% | -0.2% |
| 1992 | 41.2% | +0.1% |
| 1993 | 41.2% | +0.2% |
| 1994 | 41.5% | +0.5% |
| 1995 | 41.6% | +0.5% |
| 1996 | 41.9% | +0.6% |
| 1997 | 42.0% | +0.1% |
| 1998 | 42.1% | +0.2% |
| 1999 | 42.2% | +0.3% |
| 2000 | 42.4% | +0.6% |
| 2001 | 42.6% | +0.5% |
| 2002 | 42.7% | +0.2% |
| 2003 | 42.8% | +0.1% |
| 2004 | 42.8% | -0.0% |
| 2005 | 42.6% | -0.3% |
| 2006 | 42.5% | -0.3% |
| 2007 | 42.3% | -0.5% |
| 2008 | 42.2% | -0.3% |
| 2009 | 42.0% | -0.3% |
| 2010 | 41.9% | -0.3% |
| 2011 | 41.8% | -0.3% |
| 2012 | 41.7% | -0.2% |
| 2013 | 41.8% | +0.2% |
| 2014 | 41.8% | +0.1% |
| 2015 | 41.8% | -0.1% |
| 2016 | 41.6% | -0.4% |
| 2017 | 41.4% | -0.5% |
| 2018 | 41.1% | -0.8% |
| 2019 | 40.8% | -0.6% |
| 2020 | 37.4% | -8.4% |
| 2021 | 37.8% | +0.9% |
| 2022 | 40.4% | +7.0% |
| 2023 | 41.3% | +2.1% |
Mexico compared with similar countries
- Mexico's 41.3% is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 38.4%, 1.1× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Mexico's 41.3% is above the median for Latin America & Caribbean, which is 38.2%, 1.1× the median. (42 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 46.4% | 46.1% | 46.6% | 10 |
| 1960s | 45.2% | 43.9% | 46.4% | 10 |
| 1970s | 43.2% | 41.4% | 44.7% | 10 |
| 1980s | 41.1% | 40.8% | 41.4% | 10 |
| 1990s | 41.6% | 41.1% | 42.2% | 10 |
| 2000s | 42.5% | 42.0% | 42.8% | 10 |
| 2010s | 41.6% | 40.8% | 41.9% | 10 |
| 2020s | 39.2% | 37.4% | 41.3% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Mexico
More gender data for Mexico
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 30,197 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -0.9402 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 106,708 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 106,708 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 1.16 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 978,858 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 1.01 million (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 984,557 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 1.02 million (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 992,716 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Mexico?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Mexico was 41.3% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Mexico?
- The highest recorded value was 46.6% in 1956.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Mexico?
- The lowest recorded value was 37.4% in 2020.
- How does Mexico rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Mexico ranks 70th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Mexico?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Mexico data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.