Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Moldova
Moldova: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 32.4% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Moldova, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Moldova recorded 32.4% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 6.2% on the previous year and down 2.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Moldova peaked at 41.4% in 1950 and was at its lowest, 30.5%, in 2022.
Moldova ranks 222nd of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Moldova, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 41.4% | — |
| 1951 | 41.2% | -0.4% |
| 1952 | 41.0% | -0.4% |
| 1953 | 40.9% | -0.3% |
| 1954 | 40.7% | -0.4% |
| 1955 | 40.6% | -0.2% |
| 1956 | 40.6% | -0.0% |
| 1957 | 40.6% | -0.1% |
| 1958 | 40.5% | -0.2% |
| 1959 | 40.4% | -0.3% |
| 1960 | 40.3% | -0.2% |
| 1961 | 40.2% | -0.3% |
| 1962 | 40.0% | -0.3% |
| 1963 | 40.0% | -0.2% |
| 1964 | 39.9% | -0.1% |
| 1965 | 39.9% | -0.1% |
| 1966 | 39.9% | -0.1% |
| 1967 | 39.8% | -0.2% |
| 1968 | 39.7% | -0.2% |
| 1969 | 39.6% | -0.3% |
| 1970 | 39.5% | -0.3% |
| 1971 | 39.4% | -0.2% |
| 1972 | 39.4% | -0.2% |
| 1973 | 39.3% | -0.1% |
| 1974 | 39.3% | -0.1% |
| 1975 | 39.3% | -0.0% |
| 1976 | 39.2% | -0.1% |
| 1977 | 39.2% | -0.1% |
| 1978 | 39.1% | -0.2% |
| 1979 | 39.0% | -0.3% |
| 1980 | 38.9% | -0.2% |
| 1981 | 38.8% | -0.3% |
| 1982 | 38.7% | -0.2% |
| 1983 | 38.7% | -0.2% |
| 1984 | 38.7% | +0.2% |
| 1985 | 38.8% | +0.2% |
| 1986 | 38.9% | +0.1% |
| 1987 | 38.8% | -0.1% |
| 1988 | 38.6% | -0.4% |
| 1989 | 38.3% | -0.9% |
| 1990 | 38.0% | -0.9% |
| 1991 | 37.5% | -1.1% |
| 1992 | 36.6% | -2.4% |
| 1993 | 37.0% | +0.8% |
| 1994 | 36.8% | -0.5% |
| 1995 | 36.5% | -0.7% |
| 1996 | 36.4% | -0.4% |
| 1997 | 36.3% | -0.2% |
| 1998 | 36.3% | -0.1% |
| 1999 | 36.1% | -0.4% |
| 2000 | 36.0% | -0.5% |
| 2001 | 35.8% | -0.6% |
| 2002 | 35.6% | -0.6% |
| 2003 | 35.4% | -0.6% |
| 2004 | 35.1% | -0.6% |
| 2005 | 35.0% | -0.5% |
| 2006 | 34.8% | -0.5% |
| 2007 | 34.6% | -0.5% |
| 2008 | 34.4% | -0.5% |
| 2009 | 34.2% | -0.6% |
| 2010 | 34.0% | -0.7% |
| 2011 | 33.8% | -0.7% |
| 2012 | 33.5% | -0.7% |
| 2013 | 33.3% | -0.7% |
| 2014 | 33.1% | -0.7% |
| 2015 | 32.8% | -1.0% |
| 2016 | 32.5% | -0.8% |
| 2017 | 32.2% | -0.7% |
| 2018 | 32.6% | +1.0% |
| 2019 | 32.5% | -0.2% |
| 2020 | 32.3% | -0.6% |
| 2021 | 32.7% | +1.3% |
| 2022 | 30.5% | -6.7% |
| 2023 | 32.4% | +6.2% |
Moldova compared with similar countries
- Moldova's 32.4% is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 38.4%, 84% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Moldova's 32.4% is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 87% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 40.8% | 40.4% | 41.4% | 10 |
| 1960s | 39.9% | 39.6% | 40.3% | 10 |
| 1970s | 39.3% | 39.0% | 39.5% | 10 |
| 1980s | 38.7% | 38.3% | 38.9% | 10 |
| 1990s | 36.8% | 36.1% | 38.0% | 10 |
| 2000s | 35.1% | 34.2% | 36.0% | 10 |
| 2010s | 33.0% | 32.2% | 34.0% | 10 |
| 2020s | 32.0% | 30.5% | 32.7% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Moldova
- 219 South Korea 33.5% compare
- 220 Kazakhstan 33.0% compare
- 221 Vietnam 32.6% compare
- 223 Bermuda 32.3% compare
- 224 Saint Martin (French Part) 32.2% compare
- 225 Armenia 32.2% compare
More gender data for Moldova
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 492.95 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -4.19 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 2,352 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 2,352 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate -0.3246 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 14,841 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 15,766 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 15,090 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 16,044 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 15,279 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Moldova?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Moldova was 32.4% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Moldova?
- The highest recorded value was 41.4% in 1950.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Moldova?
- The lowest recorded value was 30.5% in 2022.
- How does Moldova rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Moldova ranks 222nd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Moldova?
- Over the last ten years it is down 2.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Moldova data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.