Probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Zealand
New Zealand: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 41.9% in 2023. ▬ Flat
Latest (2023)
41.9%
Change on year
down 1.8%
World rank
57th
of 236 countries
All-time high
43.2%
in 1949
All-time low
36.1%
in 1979
Years of data
76
1948–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Zealand, 1948–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Zealand stood at 41.9%.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 1.8% on the previous year and up 2.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Zealand peaked at 43.2% in 1949 and was at its lowest, 36.1%, in 1979.
That places New Zealand 57th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the top quarter.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Zealand, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1948 | 42.5% | — |
| 1949 | 43.2% | +1.6% |
| 1950 | 42.3% | -2.2% |
| 1951 | 41.9% | -0.9% |
| 1952 | 42.3% | +0.9% |
| 1953 | 41.0% | -3.0% |
| 1954 | 40.5% | -1.3% |
| 1955 | 40.9% | +1.0% |
| 1956 | 40.0% | -2.2% |
| 1957 | 39.3% | -1.8% |
| 1958 | 40.0% | +1.6% |
| 1959 | 39.6% | -0.9% |
| 1960 | 39.1% | -1.1% |
| 1961 | 39.4% | +0.5% |
| 1962 | 38.5% | -2.2% |
| 1963 | 38.1% | -1.0% |
| 1964 | 37.8% | -0.8% |
| 1965 | 37.8% | +0.1% |
| 1966 | 37.0% | -2.2% |
| 1967 | 37.5% | +1.5% |
| 1968 | 37.1% | -1.1% |
| 1969 | 36.9% | -0.5% |
| 1970 | 36.9% | +0.0% |
| 1971 | 36.4% | -1.4% |
| 1972 | 37.8% | +3.8% |
| 1973 | 36.3% | -3.8% |
| 1974 | 37.2% | +2.3% |
| 1975 | 36.5% | -1.9% |
| 1976 | 36.5% | +0.1% |
| 1977 | 36.4% | -0.4% |
| 1978 | 36.4% | -0.1% |
| 1979 | 36.1% | -0.6% |
| 1980 | 37.5% | +3.7% |
| 1981 | 36.5% | -2.6% |
| 1982 | 36.7% | +0.4% |
| 1983 | 36.8% | +0.4% |
| 1984 | 36.4% | -1.1% |
| 1985 | 37.0% | +1.8% |
| 1986 | 36.6% | -1.2% |
| 1987 | 37.6% | +2.6% |
| 1988 | 36.7% | -2.2% |
| 1989 | 37.1% | +1.1% |
| 1990 | 37.7% | +1.5% |
| 1991 | 38.0% | +1.0% |
| 1992 | 36.6% | -3.8% |
| 1993 | 38.0% | +3.7% |
| 1994 | 37.5% | -1.2% |
| 1995 | 37.8% | +0.6% |
| 1996 | 38.5% | +1.9% |
| 1997 | 37.8% | -1.8% |
| 1998 | 38.2% | +1.3% |
| 1999 | 38.6% | +0.8% |
| 2000 | 38.1% | -1.1% |
| 2001 | 39.0% | +2.3% |
| 2002 | 39.2% | +0.6% |
| 2003 | 39.4% | +0.4% |
| 2004 | 40.0% | +1.4% |
| 2005 | 40.1% | +0.5% |
| 2006 | 40.4% | +0.7% |
| 2007 | 40.0% | -0.9% |
| 2008 | 40.4% | +0.8% |
| 2009 | 40.5% | +0.4% |
| 2010 | 40.8% | +0.6% |
| 2011 | 41.5% | +1.7% |
| 2012 | 40.8% | -1.6% |
| 2013 | 40.9% | +0.3% |
| 2014 | 41.3% | +0.9% |
| 2015 | 41.8% | +1.3% |
| 2016 | 41.4% | -1.1% |
| 2017 | 41.9% | +1.3% |
| 2018 | 41.4% | -1.2% |
| 2019 | 41.3% | -0.3% |
| 2020 | 41.2% | -0.3% |
| 2021 | 41.7% | +1.3% |
| 2022 | 42.7% | +2.3% |
| 2023 | 41.9% | -1.8% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940s | 42.8% | 42.5% | 43.2% | 2 |
| 1950s | 40.8% | 39.3% | 42.3% | 10 |
| 1960s | 37.9% | 36.9% | 39.4% | 10 |
| 1970s | 36.7% | 36.1% | 37.8% | 10 |
| 1980s | 36.9% | 36.4% | 37.6% | 10 |
| 1990s | 37.9% | 36.6% | 38.6% | 10 |
| 2000s | 39.7% | 38.1% | 40.5% | 10 |
| 2010s | 41.3% | 40.8% | 41.9% | 10 |
| 2020s | 41.9% | 41.2% | 42.7% | 4 |
Countries ranked near New Zealand
More gender data for New Zealand
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 907.87 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -0.6435 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 28,751 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 30,320 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 29,075 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 30,663 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 29,141 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, male, interpolated 30,721 (2025)
- Age population, age 03, female, interpolated 29,018 (2025)
- Age population, age 03, male, interpolated 30,560 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Zealand?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Zealand was 41.9% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in New Zealand?
- The highest recorded value was 43.2% in 1949.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in New Zealand?
- The lowest recorded value was 36.1% in 1979.
- How does New Zealand rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- New Zealand ranks 57th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in New Zealand?
- Over the last ten years it is up 2.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
- Where does this New Zealand data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.