Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Lebanon
Lebanon: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 40.0% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Lebanon, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Lebanon recorded 40.0% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
That represents a change of down 0.2% on the previous year and up 0.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Lebanon peaked at 44.6% in 1991 and was at its lowest, 29.4%, in 1975.
That places Lebanon 101st out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Lebanon, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 43.5% | — |
| 1951 | 43.5% | +0.0% |
| 1952 | 43.5% | +0.0% |
| 1953 | 43.5% | -0.0% |
| 1954 | 43.4% | -0.1% |
| 1955 | 43.4% | -0.1% |
| 1956 | 43.5% | +0.3% |
| 1957 | 43.4% | -0.2% |
| 1958 | 39.8% | -8.3% |
| 1959 | 43.4% | +9.1% |
| 1960 | 43.5% | +0.0% |
| 1961 | 43.5% | +0.1% |
| 1962 | 43.4% | -0.3% |
| 1963 | 43.4% | +0.0% |
| 1964 | 43.5% | +0.3% |
| 1965 | 43.5% | +0.0% |
| 1966 | 43.5% | +0.0% |
| 1967 | 43.5% | +0.1% |
| 1968 | 43.5% | +0.0% |
| 1969 | 43.6% | +0.1% |
| 1970 | 43.6% | +0.1% |
| 1971 | 43.7% | +0.1% |
| 1972 | 43.7% | +0.0% |
| 1973 | 43.7% | +0.0% |
| 1974 | 43.7% | +0.0% |
| 1975 | 29.4% | -32.7% |
| 1976 | 34.0% | +15.5% |
| 1977 | 39.8% | +17.0% |
| 1978 | 39.5% | -0.6% |
| 1979 | 39.2% | -0.8% |
| 1980 | 39.3% | +0.3% |
| 1981 | 39.4% | +0.3% |
| 1982 | 34.3% | -12.9% |
| 1983 | 34.1% | -0.7% |
| 1984 | 34.2% | +0.3% |
| 1985 | 34.3% | +0.4% |
| 1986 | 34.5% | +0.5% |
| 1987 | 39.9% | +15.7% |
| 1988 | 40.0% | +0.2% |
| 1989 | 34.8% | -13.0% |
| 1990 | 34.8% | +0.1% |
| 1991 | 44.6% | +28.0% |
| 1992 | 44.4% | -0.4% |
| 1993 | 43.7% | -1.5% |
| 1994 | 43.3% | -1.0% |
| 1995 | 43.0% | -0.6% |
| 1996 | 42.7% | -0.8% |
| 1997 | 42.5% | -0.5% |
| 1998 | 42.3% | -0.5% |
| 1999 | 42.0% | -0.8% |
| 2000 | 41.5% | -1.0% |
| 2001 | 41.0% | -1.4% |
| 2002 | 40.6% | -0.9% |
| 2003 | 40.5% | -0.4% |
| 2004 | 40.3% | -0.4% |
| 2005 | 40.0% | -0.7% |
| 2006 | 38.5% | -3.9% |
| 2007 | 39.7% | +3.2% |
| 2008 | 39.6% | -0.1% |
| 2009 | 39.7% | +0.1% |
| 2010 | 39.8% | +0.3% |
| 2011 | 39.9% | +0.2% |
| 2012 | 39.9% | +0.2% |
| 2013 | 40.0% | +0.1% |
| 2014 | 40.0% | +0.1% |
| 2015 | 40.0% | -0.1% |
| 2016 | 39.9% | -0.2% |
| 2017 | 39.8% | -0.3% |
| 2018 | 40.0% | +0.6% |
| 2019 | 40.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020 | 38.6% | -3.6% |
| 2021 | 37.1% | -3.9% |
| 2022 | 40.0% | +7.9% |
| 2023 | 40.0% | -0.2% |
Lebanon compared with similar countries
- Lebanon's 40.0% is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 41.9%, 95% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Lebanon's 40.0% is below the median for Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan, which is 41.5%, 96% of the median. (23 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Lebanon changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | -32.7% | 43.7% | 29.4% |
| 1991 | +28.0% | 34.8% | 44.6% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 43.1% | 39.8% | 43.5% | 10 |
| 1960s | 43.5% | 43.4% | 43.6% | 10 |
| 1970s | 40.0% | 29.4% | 43.7% | 10 |
| 1980s | 36.5% | 34.1% | 40.0% | 10 |
| 1990s | 42.3% | 34.8% | 44.6% | 10 |
| 2000s | 40.1% | 38.5% | 41.5% | 10 |
| 2010s | 39.9% | 39.8% | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2020s | 38.9% | 37.1% | 40.0% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Lebanon
More gender data for Lebanon
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 1,385 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -1.26 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 4,719 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 4,719 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 1.53 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 44,373 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 46,608 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 44,213 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 46,432 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 44,307 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Lebanon?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Lebanon was 40.0% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Lebanon?
- The highest recorded value was 44.6% in 1991.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Lebanon?
- The lowest recorded value was 29.4% in 1975.
- How does Lebanon rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Lebanon ranks 101st out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Lebanon?
- Over the last ten years it is up 0.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Lebanon data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.