Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vatican
Vatican: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 38.1% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vatican, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vatican stood at 38.1%.
That represents a change of down 0.6% on the previous year and up 1.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vatican peaked at 44.3% in 1950 and was at its lowest, 34.4%, in 1995.
That places Vatican 148th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vatican, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 44.3% | — |
| 1951 | 44.3% | -0.1% |
| 1952 | 44.1% | -0.4% |
| 1953 | 43.9% | -0.5% |
| 1954 | 43.2% | -1.5% |
| 1955 | 43.0% | -0.6% |
| 1956 | 42.9% | -0.3% |
| 1957 | 42.5% | -0.8% |
| 1958 | 42.2% | -0.6% |
| 1959 | 42.1% | -0.4% |
| 1960 | 41.8% | -0.8% |
| 1961 | 41.2% | -1.3% |
| 1962 | 41.3% | +0.3% |
| 1963 | 41.1% | -0.6% |
| 1964 | 40.6% | -1.2% |
| 1965 | 40.6% | +0.0% |
| 1966 | 40.2% | -0.9% |
| 1967 | 40.3% | +0.1% |
| 1968 | 40.1% | -0.3% |
| 1969 | 39.7% | -1.1% |
| 1970 | 39.7% | -0.0% |
| 1971 | 39.3% | -1.0% |
| 1972 | 39.0% | -0.6% |
| 1973 | 39.2% | +0.4% |
| 1974 | 38.4% | -2.1% |
| 1975 | 38.1% | -0.6% |
| 1976 | 37.7% | -1.0% |
| 1977 | 37.1% | -1.5% |
| 1978 | 36.7% | -1.2% |
| 1979 | 36.4% | -0.8% |
| 1980 | 36.3% | -0.1% |
| 1981 | 36.3% | -0.1% |
| 1982 | 36.0% | -0.7% |
| 1983 | 36.2% | +0.3% |
| 1984 | 35.9% | -0.6% |
| 1985 | 35.7% | -0.6% |
| 1986 | 35.5% | -0.6% |
| 1987 | 35.2% | -0.8% |
| 1988 | 35.3% | +0.3% |
| 1989 | 35.0% | -0.9% |
| 1990 | 35.0% | -0.0% |
| 1991 | 34.8% | -0.6% |
| 1992 | 34.6% | -0.5% |
| 1993 | 35.0% | +1.2% |
| 1994 | 34.6% | -1.2% |
| 1995 | 34.4% | -0.7% |
| 1996 | 34.4% | +0.1% |
| 1997 | 35.2% | +2.4% |
| 1998 | 34.6% | -1.7% |
| 1999 | 34.8% | +0.5% |
| 2000 | 36.2% | +4.1% |
| 2001 | 35.6% | -1.7% |
| 2002 | 35.8% | +0.6% |
| 2003 | 36.2% | +1.1% |
| 2004 | 36.2% | -0.2% |
| 2005 | 36.4% | +0.6% |
| 2006 | 36.2% | -0.4% |
| 2007 | 36.8% | +1.7% |
| 2008 | 36.9% | +0.1% |
| 2009 | 37.4% | +1.6% |
| 2010 | 37.5% | +0.2% |
| 2011 | 37.8% | +0.8% |
| 2012 | 37.8% | +0.1% |
| 2013 | 37.5% | -0.9% |
| 2014 | 37.8% | +0.8% |
| 2015 | 38.4% | +1.5% |
| 2016 | 38.6% | +0.5% |
| 2017 | 38.5% | -0.2% |
| 2018 | 38.6% | +0.4% |
| 2019 | 38.6% | -0.1% |
| 2020 | 37.9% | -1.7% |
| 2021 | 38.4% | +1.1% |
| 2022 | 38.4% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | 38.1% | -0.6% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 43.2% | 42.1% | 44.3% | 10 |
| 1960s | 40.7% | 39.7% | 41.8% | 10 |
| 1970s | 38.2% | 36.4% | 39.7% | 10 |
| 1980s | 35.8% | 35.0% | 36.3% | 10 |
| 1990s | 34.7% | 34.4% | 35.2% | 10 |
| 2000s | 36.4% | 35.6% | 37.4% | 10 |
| 2010s | 38.1% | 37.5% | 38.6% | 10 |
| 2020s | 38.2% | 37.9% | 38.4% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Vatican
More gender data for Vatican
- Women's universal right to vote 0 (1869)
- Women's Political Participation Index 0.091 (1870)
- Key features of women's political empowerment 0.067 (1870)
- Women's political empowerment index vs. electoral democracy index 0.067 (1870)
- Key features of womens political empowerment, annual growth rate 0 % change on previous year (1870)
- Key features of womens political empowerment, gaps filled 0.067 (1870)
- Gender of the head of government, gaps filled 0 (1861)
- Women's Political Empowerment Index 0.067 (1870)
- Women's Civil Society Participation Index 0.014 (1870)
- Women's Civil Liberties Index 0.06 (1870)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vatican?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vatican was 38.1% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Vatican?
- The highest recorded value was 44.3% in 1950.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Vatican?
- The lowest recorded value was 34.4% in 1995.
- How does Vatican rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Vatican ranks 148th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Vatican?
- Over the last ten years it is up 1.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Vatican data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.