Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Eritrea
Eritrea: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 43.7% in 2023. ▬ Flat
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Eritrea, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability that a man will outlive a woman in Eritrea is 43.7%, measured in 2023.
That represents a change of down 1.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Eritrea peaked at 46.8% in 1994 and was at its lowest, 30.7%, in 1999.
Eritrea ranks 30th of 236 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Eritrea, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 45.8% | — |
| 1951 | 45.8% | +0.1% |
| 1952 | 45.8% | +0.0% |
| 1953 | 45.8% | +0.0% |
| 1954 | 45.8% | -0.2% |
| 1955 | 45.8% | +0.1% |
| 1956 | 45.8% | -0.1% |
| 1957 | 46.4% | +1.3% |
| 1958 | 46.3% | -0.1% |
| 1959 | 45.7% | -1.3% |
| 1960 | 45.7% | +0.0% |
| 1961 | 45.7% | +0.0% |
| 1962 | 45.7% | -0.0% |
| 1963 | 45.8% | +0.1% |
| 1964 | 45.7% | -0.1% |
| 1965 | 45.7% | +0.0% |
| 1966 | 46.0% | +0.6% |
| 1967 | 45.6% | -0.9% |
| 1968 | 45.6% | +0.1% |
| 1969 | 45.7% | +0.1% |
| 1970 | 45.7% | +0.0% |
| 1971 | 45.7% | +0.1% |
| 1972 | 45.9% | +0.3% |
| 1973 | 45.8% | -0.2% |
| 1974 | 45.2% | -1.2% |
| 1975 | 44.5% | -1.7% |
| 1976 | 43.8% | -1.5% |
| 1977 | 43.8% | -0.2% |
| 1978 | 43.7% | -0.0% |
| 1979 | 43.9% | +0.4% |
| 1980 | 44.5% | +1.4% |
| 1981 | 44.6% | +0.2% |
| 1982 | 43.9% | -1.5% |
| 1983 | 45.4% | +3.3% |
| 1984 | 45.4% | -0.1% |
| 1985 | 45.4% | +0.1% |
| 1986 | 46.0% | +1.2% |
| 1987 | 44.4% | -3.4% |
| 1988 | 44.6% | +0.4% |
| 1989 | 44.1% | -1.1% |
| 1990 | 45.0% | +2.0% |
| 1991 | 44.9% | -0.2% |
| 1992 | 46.7% | +3.9% |
| 1993 | 46.8% | +0.2% |
| 1994 | 46.8% | +0.0% |
| 1995 | 46.7% | -0.1% |
| 1996 | 46.6% | -0.4% |
| 1997 | 46.3% | -0.6% |
| 1998 | 34.5% | -25.5% |
| 1999 | 30.7% | -10.9% |
| 2000 | 44.6% | +45.2% |
| 2001 | 45.8% | +2.8% |
| 2002 | 45.6% | -0.3% |
| 2003 | 45.4% | -0.5% |
| 2004 | 45.5% | +0.2% |
| 2005 | 45.4% | -0.2% |
| 2006 | 45.5% | +0.2% |
| 2007 | 45.3% | -0.4% |
| 2008 | 45.1% | -0.6% |
| 2009 | 45.1% | +0.0% |
| 2010 | 44.9% | -0.4% |
| 2011 | 44.8% | -0.3% |
| 2012 | 44.6% | -0.3% |
| 2013 | 44.4% | -0.5% |
| 2014 | 44.4% | -0.1% |
| 2015 | 44.2% | -0.4% |
| 2016 | 44.0% | -0.4% |
| 2017 | 43.9% | -0.2% |
| 2018 | 43.8% | -0.2% |
| 2019 | 43.8% | -0.1% |
| 2020 | 42.6% | -2.8% |
| 2021 | 43.7% | +2.7% |
| 2022 | 43.7% | -0.0% |
| 2023 | 43.7% | +0.0% |
Eritrea compared with similar countries
- Eritrea's 43.7% is above the median for low income countries, which is 43.7%, 1.0× the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Eritrea's 43.7% is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 42.6%, 1.0× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Eritrea changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | +45.2% | 30.7% | 44.6% |
| 1998 | -25.5% | 46.3% | 34.5% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 45.9% | 45.7% | 46.4% | 10 |
| 1960s | 45.7% | 45.6% | 46.0% | 10 |
| 1970s | 44.8% | 43.7% | 45.9% | 10 |
| 1980s | 44.8% | 43.9% | 46.0% | 10 |
| 1990s | 43.5% | 30.7% | 46.8% | 10 |
| 2000s | 45.3% | 44.6% | 45.8% | 10 |
| 2010s | 44.3% | 43.8% | 44.9% | 10 |
| 2020s | 43.4% | 42.6% | 43.7% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Eritrea
- 27 Kuwait 43.8% compare
- 28 Kiribati 43.7% compare
- 28 Somalia 43.7% compare
- 31 Bangladesh 43.7% compare
- 32 Wallis and Futuna 43.4% compare
- 33 Burkina Faso 43.4% compare
More gender data for Eritrea
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 1,428 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth 1.34 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 2,575 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 2,575 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 2.52 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 49,309 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 50,569 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 47,954 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 49,112 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 46,799 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Eritrea?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Eritrea was 43.7% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Eritrea?
- The highest recorded value was 46.8% in 1994.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Eritrea?
- The lowest recorded value was 30.7% in 1999.
- How does Eritrea rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Eritrea ranks 30th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Eritrea?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
- Where does this Eritrea data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 74 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).
About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.