Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Ethiopia
Ethiopia: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 40.2% in 2023. ▬ Flat
Latest (2023)
40.2%
Change on year
down 0.2%
World rank
96th
of 236 countries
All-time high
48.5%
in 2001
All-time low
40.1%
in 2020
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Ethiopia, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Ethiopia recorded 40.2% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
The figure is down 0.2% on the previous year and down 7.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Ethiopia peaked at 48.5% in 2001 and was at its lowest, 40.1%, in 2020.
That places Ethiopia 96th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Ethiopia, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 43.7% | — |
| 1951 | 43.7% | +0.1% |
| 1952 | 43.6% | -0.1% |
| 1953 | 43.6% | +0.0% |
| 1954 | 43.6% | -0.1% |
| 1955 | 43.5% | -0.3% |
| 1956 | 43.4% | -0.1% |
| 1957 | 44.8% | +3.2% |
| 1958 | 44.8% | -0.1% |
| 1959 | 43.1% | -3.6% |
| 1960 | 43.0% | -0.2% |
| 1961 | 43.2% | +0.3% |
| 1962 | 43.3% | +0.4% |
| 1963 | 43.3% | -0.1% |
| 1964 | 43.2% | -0.1% |
| 1965 | 43.1% | -0.3% |
| 1966 | 43.7% | +1.4% |
| 1967 | 43.0% | -1.5% |
| 1968 | 43.0% | -0.1% |
| 1969 | 43.0% | +0.1% |
| 1970 | 43.1% | +0.0% |
| 1971 | 43.2% | +0.3% |
| 1972 | 43.5% | +0.7% |
| 1973 | 43.4% | -0.1% |
| 1974 | 43.9% | +1.1% |
| 1975 | 43.8% | -0.2% |
| 1976 | 42.8% | -2.3% |
| 1977 | 42.7% | -0.1% |
| 1978 | 42.8% | +0.2% |
| 1979 | 42.8% | +0.0% |
| 1980 | 42.8% | -0.1% |
| 1981 | 42.8% | -0.1% |
| 1982 | 42.8% | +0.2% |
| 1983 | 45.1% | +5.4% |
| 1984 | 45.5% | +0.8% |
| 1985 | 45.9% | +0.8% |
| 1986 | 46.4% | +1.1% |
| 1987 | 46.4% | -0.1% |
| 1988 | 46.7% | +0.7% |
| 1989 | 46.5% | -0.3% |
| 1990 | 46.5% | -0.2% |
| 1991 | 47.7% | +2.5% |
| 1992 | 48.3% | +1.4% |
| 1993 | 48.3% | -0.1% |
| 1994 | 48.1% | -0.3% |
| 1995 | 47.9% | -0.4% |
| 1996 | 48.1% | +0.3% |
| 1997 | 48.1% | +0.0% |
| 1998 | 48.0% | -0.3% |
| 1999 | 47.0% | -2.0% |
| 2000 | 48.4% | +3.0% |
| 2001 | 48.5% | +0.1% |
| 2002 | 48.0% | -0.9% |
| 2003 | 47.9% | -0.3% |
| 2004 | 47.2% | -1.4% |
| 2005 | 46.9% | -0.7% |
| 2006 | 46.4% | -1.0% |
| 2007 | 45.6% | -1.7% |
| 2008 | 45.0% | -1.4% |
| 2009 | 44.6% | -0.9% |
| 2010 | 44.3% | -0.6% |
| 2011 | 44.3% | -0.1% |
| 2012 | 43.9% | -0.7% |
| 2013 | 43.5% | -1.1% |
| 2014 | 43.0% | -1.0% |
| 2015 | 42.6% | -1.0% |
| 2016 | 42.2% | -0.9% |
| 2017 | 41.9% | -0.8% |
| 2018 | 41.6% | -0.6% |
| 2019 | 41.3% | -0.8% |
| 2020 | 40.1% | -2.9% |
| 2021 | 40.4% | +0.9% |
| 2022 | 40.3% | -0.3% |
| 2023 | 40.2% | -0.2% |
Ethiopia compared with similar countries
- Ethiopia's 40.2% is below the median for low income countries, which is 43.7%, 92% of the median. (25 countries reporting)
- Ethiopia's 40.2% is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 42.6%, 95% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 43.8% | 43.1% | 44.8% | 10 |
| 1960s | 43.2% | 43.0% | 43.7% | 10 |
| 1970s | 43.2% | 42.7% | 43.9% | 10 |
| 1980s | 45.1% | 42.8% | 46.7% | 10 |
| 1990s | 47.8% | 46.5% | 48.3% | 10 |
| 2000s | 46.8% | 44.6% | 48.5% | 10 |
| 2010s | 42.9% | 41.3% | 44.3% | 10 |
| 2020s | 40.3% | 40.1% | 40.4% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Ethiopia
More gender data for Ethiopia
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 57,452 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth 1.69 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 95,403 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 95,403 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 2.76 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 1.98 million (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 2.07 million (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 1.95 million (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 2.04 million (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 1.92 million (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Ethiopia?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Ethiopia was 40.2% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Ethiopia?
- The highest recorded value was 48.5% in 2001.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Ethiopia?
- The lowest recorded value was 40.1% in 2020.
- How does Ethiopia rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Ethiopia ranks 96th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Ethiopia?
- Over the last ten years it is down 7.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
- Where does this Ethiopia data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.