Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Australia
Australia: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 40.0% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
40.0%
Change on year
up 3.2%
World rank
105th
of 236 countries
All-time high
44.4%
in 1928
All-time low
34.6%
in 1980
Years of data
103
1921–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Australia, 1921–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability that a man will outlive a woman in Australia is 40.0%, measured in 2023.
The figure is up 3.2% on the previous year and up 0.7% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Australia peaked at 44.4% in 1928 and was at its lowest, 34.6%, in 1980.
That places Australia 105th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 103 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Australia, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1921 | 44.0% | — |
| 1922 | 43.6% | -0.9% |
| 1923 | 44.2% | +1.4% |
| 1924 | 43.9% | -0.6% |
| 1925 | 43.4% | -1.1% |
| 1926 | 43.7% | +0.6% |
| 1927 | 44.0% | +0.7% |
| 1928 | 44.4% | +0.9% |
| 1929 | 43.1% | -2.9% |
| 1930 | 43.8% | +1.6% |
| 1931 | 43.6% | -0.5% |
| 1932 | 43.5% | -0.2% |
| 1933 | 43.1% | -0.9% |
| 1934 | 43.8% | +1.7% |
| 1935 | 43.0% | -2.0% |
| 1936 | 43.3% | +0.7% |
| 1937 | 42.6% | -1.5% |
| 1938 | 42.8% | +0.5% |
| 1939 | 42.2% | -1.5% |
| 1940 | 41.7% | -1.1% |
| 1941 | 42.5% | +1.8% |
| 1942 | 42.4% | -0.3% |
| 1943 | 42.7% | +0.9% |
| 1944 | 42.9% | +0.4% |
| 1945 | 42.6% | -0.7% |
| 1946 | 41.5% | -2.7% |
| 1947 | 41.0% | -1.2% |
| 1948 | 40.6% | -0.8% |
| 1949 | 40.0% | -1.5% |
| 1950 | 39.8% | -0.6% |
| 1951 | 39.2% | -1.4% |
| 1952 | 39.0% | -0.6% |
| 1953 | 39.1% | +0.3% |
| 1954 | 38.8% | -0.8% |
| 1955 | 38.2% | -1.6% |
| 1956 | 38.1% | -0.3% |
| 1957 | 37.9% | -0.3% |
| 1958 | 37.8% | -0.4% |
| 1959 | 37.1% | -1.8% |
| 1960 | 37.4% | +0.7% |
| 1961 | 36.8% | -1.6% |
| 1962 | 36.7% | -0.1% |
| 1963 | 36.7% | -0.1% |
| 1964 | 36.4% | -0.8% |
| 1965 | 36.4% | +0.0% |
| 1966 | 36.4% | +0.2% |
| 1967 | 36.1% | -1.0% |
| 1968 | 35.7% | -1.1% |
| 1969 | 35.8% | +0.3% |
| 1970 | 36.0% | +0.8% |
| 1971 | 36.1% | +0.2% |
| 1972 | 35.7% | -1.3% |
| 1973 | 35.3% | -1.1% |
| 1974 | 35.3% | +0.1% |
| 1975 | 35.4% | +0.3% |
| 1976 | 35.1% | -1.0% |
| 1977 | 35.4% | +0.9% |
| 1978 | 35.2% | -0.5% |
| 1979 | 34.9% | -0.9% |
| 1980 | 34.6% | -0.7% |
| 1981 | 34.7% | +0.2% |
| 1982 | 34.8% | +0.3% |
| 1983 | 35.5% | +1.9% |
| 1984 | 35.6% | +0.3% |
| 1985 | 35.9% | +0.9% |
| 1986 | 36.0% | +0.3% |
| 1987 | 35.8% | -0.7% |
| 1988 | 35.8% | +0.2% |
| 1989 | 35.9% | +0.1% |
| 1990 | 36.2% | +1.1% |
| 1991 | 36.4% | +0.5% |
| 1992 | 36.4% | -0.0% |
| 1993 | 36.4% | +0.0% |
| 1994 | 36.4% | -0.2% |
| 1995 | 36.8% | +1.3% |
| 1996 | 36.6% | -0.5% |
| 1997 | 37.1% | +1.4% |
| 1998 | 37.0% | -0.5% |
| 1999 | 37.2% | +0.6% |
| 2000 | 37.5% | +0.8% |
| 2001 | 37.8% | +0.7% |
| 2002 | 38.0% | +0.5% |
| 2003 | 38.0% | +0.2% |
| 2004 | 38.1% | +0.3% |
| 2005 | 38.5% | +0.9% |
| 2006 | 38.6% | +0.2% |
| 2007 | 38.7% | +0.3% |
| 2008 | 38.8% | +0.3% |
| 2009 | 38.9% | +0.2% |
| 2010 | 39.3% | +1.0% |
| 2011 | 39.1% | -0.3% |
| 2012 | 39.9% | +2.0% |
| 2013 | 39.7% | -0.7% |
| 2014 | 40.2% | +1.3% |
| 2015 | 40.2% | -0.0% |
| 2016 | 39.9% | -0.6% |
| 2017 | 40.2% | +0.7% |
| 2018 | 40.1% | -0.1% |
| 2019 | 40.2% | +0.3% |
| 2020 | 40.2% | -0.0% |
| 2021 | 40.8% | +1.3% |
| 2022 | 38.7% | -5.1% |
| 2023 | 40.0% | +3.2% |
Australia compared with similar countries
- Australia's 40.0% is above the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 1.0× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Australia's 40.0% is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 40.0%, 1.0× the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1920s | 43.8% | 43.1% | 44.4% | 9 |
| 1930s | 43.2% | 42.2% | 43.8% | 10 |
| 1940s | 41.8% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 10 |
| 1950s | 38.5% | 37.1% | 39.8% | 10 |
| 1960s | 36.4% | 35.7% | 37.4% | 10 |
| 1970s | 35.4% | 34.9% | 36.1% | 10 |
| 1980s | 35.4% | 34.6% | 36.0% | 10 |
| 1990s | 36.7% | 36.2% | 37.2% | 10 |
| 2000s | 38.3% | 37.5% | 38.9% | 10 |
| 2010s | 39.9% | 39.1% | 40.2% | 10 |
| 2020s | 39.9% | 38.7% | 40.8% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Australia
More gender data for Australia
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 4,759 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -0.0804 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 23,430 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 23,430 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 1.02 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 149,630 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 157,746 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 150,777 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 158,898 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 151,066 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Australia?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Australia was 40.0% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Australia?
- The highest recorded value was 44.4% in 1928.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Australia?
- The lowest recorded value was 34.6% in 1980.
- How does Australia rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Australia ranks 105th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Australia?
- Over the last ten years it is up 0.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Australia data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 103 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).
About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.