Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Norway
Norway: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 41.1% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Norway, 1846–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability that a man will outlive a woman in Norway is 41.1%, measured in 2023.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 0.5% on the previous year and up 3.7% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Norway peaked at 47.7% in 1862 and was at its lowest, 34.5%, in 1986.
Norway ranks 73rd of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 178 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Norway, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1846 | 46.5% | — |
| 1847 | 47.1% | +1.4% |
| 1848 | 46.3% | -1.7% |
| 1849 | 46.2% | -0.2% |
| 1850 | 46.0% | -0.5% |
| 1851 | 46.0% | +0.1% |
| 1852 | 46.7% | +1.5% |
| 1853 | 47.0% | +0.5% |
| 1854 | 46.3% | -1.4% |
| 1855 | 46.0% | -0.6% |
| 1856 | 46.5% | +1.0% |
| 1857 | 46.9% | +0.9% |
| 1858 | 46.9% | -0.1% |
| 1859 | 47.2% | +0.7% |
| 1860 | 46.9% | -0.6% |
| 1861 | 47.6% | +1.4% |
| 1862 | 47.7% | +0.2% |
| 1863 | 46.9% | -1.7% |
| 1864 | 47.6% | +1.5% |
| 1865 | 46.9% | -1.5% |
| 1866 | 46.7% | -0.4% |
| 1867 | 46.4% | -0.5% |
| 1868 | 46.2% | -0.5% |
| 1869 | 46.4% | +0.3% |
| 1870 | 46.3% | -0.1% |
| 1871 | 46.4% | +0.1% |
| 1872 | 46.8% | +0.9% |
| 1873 | 46.8% | +0.1% |
| 1874 | 46.8% | +0.0% |
| 1875 | 46.7% | -0.3% |
| 1876 | 46.9% | +0.4% |
| 1877 | 46.8% | -0.1% |
| 1878 | 47.0% | +0.3% |
| 1879 | 47.5% | +1.1% |
| 1880 | 47.1% | -0.9% |
| 1881 | 46.8% | -0.5% |
| 1882 | 47.7% | +1.8% |
| 1883 | 47.6% | -0.0% |
| 1884 | 47.4% | -0.5% |
| 1885 | 47.1% | -0.7% |
| 1886 | 47.2% | +0.2% |
| 1887 | 47.4% | +0.5% |
| 1888 | 47.2% | -0.6% |
| 1889 | 46.9% | -0.5% |
| 1890 | 46.9% | -0.1% |
| 1891 | 46.5% | -0.8% |
| 1892 | 46.2% | -0.7% |
| 1893 | 46.1% | -0.2% |
| 1894 | 46.2% | +0.2% |
| 1895 | 46.5% | +0.8% |
| 1896 | 45.7% | -1.8% |
| 1897 | 45.8% | +0.2% |
| 1898 | 46.0% | +0.6% |
| 1899 | 46.3% | +0.6% |
| 1900 | 46.3% | +0.0% |
| 1901 | 45.9% | -0.9% |
| 1902 | 46.7% | +1.9% |
| 1903 | 46.4% | -0.6% |
| 1904 | 47.0% | +1.3% |
| 1905 | 47.4% | +0.7% |
| 1906 | 46.9% | -0.9% |
| 1907 | 46.8% | -0.3% |
| 1908 | 46.9% | +0.3% |
| 1909 | 46.5% | -0.9% |
| 1910 | 46.4% | -0.4% |
| 1911 | 45.9% | -1.0% |
| 1912 | 46.4% | +1.0% |
| 1913 | 45.9% | -1.1% |
| 1914 | 46.0% | +0.2% |
| 1915 | 45.7% | -0.5% |
| 1916 | 45.7% | -0.1% |
| 1917 | 46.3% | +1.3% |
| 1918 | 46.4% | +0.2% |
| 1919 | 46.9% | +1.2% |
| 1920 | 46.8% | -0.3% |
| 1921 | 46.3% | -0.9% |
| 1922 | 47.0% | +1.5% |
| 1923 | 46.6% | -1.0% |
| 1924 | 46.6% | +0.0% |
| 1925 | 45.9% | -1.4% |
| 1926 | 46.7% | +1.7% |
| 1927 | 45.9% | -1.7% |
| 1928 | 46.3% | +0.9% |
| 1929 | 46.3% | +0.0% |
| 1930 | 46.1% | -0.5% |
| 1931 | 46.1% | -0.0% |
| 1932 | 46.3% | +0.4% |
| 1933 | 45.9% | -0.9% |
| 1934 | 45.9% | +0.1% |
| 1935 | 45.9% | +0.0% |
| 1936 | 45.5% | -0.9% |
| 1937 | 45.5% | +0.0% |
| 1938 | 44.6% | -2.0% |
| 1939 | 45.1% | +1.0% |
| 1940 | 43.1% | -4.3% |
| 1941 | 43.5% | +0.9% |
| 1942 | 42.5% | -2.4% |
| 1943 | 42.5% | +0.2% |
| 1944 | 42.9% | +0.9% |
| 1945 | 43.9% | +2.3% |
| 1946 | 45.1% | +2.7% |
| 1947 | 45.2% | +0.3% |
| 1948 | 44.6% | -1.3% |
| 1949 | 45.2% | +1.3% |
| 1950 | 44.5% | -1.5% |
| 1951 | 44.4% | -0.3% |
| 1952 | 44.3% | -0.2% |
| 1953 | 43.4% | -2.2% |
| 1954 | 43.1% | -0.6% |
| 1955 | 43.2% | +0.3% |
| 1956 | 42.4% | -1.9% |
| 1957 | 42.6% | +0.3% |
| 1958 | 41.9% | -1.5% |
| 1959 | 41.8% | -0.4% |
| 1960 | 41.4% | -1.0% |
| 1961 | 40.4% | -2.3% |
| 1962 | 40.2% | -0.6% |
| 1963 | 40.5% | +0.9% |
| 1964 | 40.4% | -0.4% |
| 1965 | 38.9% | -3.5% |
| 1966 | 38.8% | -0.3% |
| 1967 | 38.3% | -1.3% |
| 1968 | 38.3% | -0.1% |
| 1969 | 37.6% | -1.7% |
| 1970 | 36.8% | -2.3% |
| 1971 | 36.9% | +0.4% |
| 1972 | 36.9% | -0.1% |
| 1973 | 36.3% | -1.6% |
| 1974 | 36.6% | +1.0% |
| 1975 | 36.2% | -1.3% |
| 1976 | 36.2% | -0.1% |
| 1977 | 36.0% | -0.6% |
| 1978 | 36.0% | +0.0% |
| 1979 | 35.4% | -1.7% |
| 1980 | 35.0% | -1.1% |
| 1981 | 34.9% | -0.2% |
| 1982 | 34.7% | -0.5% |
| 1983 | 34.7% | -0.0% |
| 1984 | 34.6% | -0.2% |
| 1985 | 34.6% | -0.1% |
| 1986 | 34.5% | -0.4% |
| 1987 | 34.6% | +0.4% |
| 1988 | 35.2% | +1.6% |
| 1989 | 35.0% | -0.5% |
| 1990 | 35.3% | +1.0% |
| 1991 | 35.5% | +0.4% |
| 1992 | 35.5% | -0.1% |
| 1993 | 35.5% | -0.0% |
| 1994 | 36.0% | +1.5% |
| 1995 | 35.5% | -1.2% |
| 1996 | 36.0% | +1.5% |
| 1997 | 36.3% | +0.8% |
| 1998 | 36.0% | -0.9% |
| 1999 | 36.4% | +1.1% |
| 2000 | 36.9% | +1.4% |
| 2001 | 37.0% | +0.3% |
| 2002 | 37.4% | +0.9% |
| 2003 | 37.9% | +1.4% |
| 2004 | 37.9% | +0.1% |
| 2005 | 37.8% | -0.3% |
| 2006 | 38.8% | +2.5% |
| 2007 | 38.5% | -0.6% |
| 2008 | 38.3% | -0.4% |
| 2009 | 38.9% | +1.4% |
| 2010 | 39.0% | +0.3% |
| 2011 | 38.8% | -0.6% |
| 2012 | 39.7% | +2.5% |
| 2013 | 39.6% | -0.2% |
| 2014 | 39.6% | -0.2% |
| 2015 | 40.0% | +1.2% |
| 2016 | 40.7% | +1.8% |
| 2017 | 41.0% | +0.8% |
| 2018 | 40.9% | -0.4% |
| 2019 | 41.0% | +0.4% |
| 2020 | 41.1% | +0.2% |
| 2021 | 41.8% | +1.7% |
| 2022 | 40.9% | -2.1% |
| 2023 | 41.1% | +0.5% |
Norway compared with similar countries
- Norway's 41.1% is above the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Norway's 41.1% is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 1.1× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1840s | 46.5% | 46.2% | 47.1% | 4 |
| 1850s | 46.6% | 46.0% | 47.2% | 10 |
| 1860s | 46.9% | 46.2% | 47.7% | 10 |
| 1870s | 46.8% | 46.3% | 47.5% | 10 |
| 1880s | 47.2% | 46.8% | 47.7% | 10 |
| 1890s | 46.2% | 45.7% | 46.9% | 10 |
| 1900s | 46.7% | 45.9% | 47.4% | 10 |
| 1910s | 46.1% | 45.7% | 46.9% | 10 |
| 1920s | 46.5% | 45.9% | 47.0% | 10 |
| 1930s | 45.7% | 44.6% | 46.3% | 10 |
| 1940s | 43.9% | 42.5% | 45.2% | 10 |
| 1950s | 43.2% | 41.8% | 44.5% | 10 |
| 1960s | 39.5% | 37.6% | 41.4% | 10 |
| 1970s | 36.3% | 35.4% | 36.9% | 10 |
| 1980s | 34.8% | 34.5% | 35.2% | 10 |
| 1990s | 35.8% | 35.3% | 36.4% | 10 |
| 2000s | 37.9% | 36.9% | 38.9% | 10 |
| 2010s | 40.0% | 38.8% | 41.0% | 10 |
| 2020s | 41.2% | 40.9% | 41.8% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Norway
- 70 Mexico 41.3% compare
- 71 Marshall Islands 41.2% compare
- 72 Saudi Arabia 41.1% compare
- 73 Botswana 41.1% compare
- 75 Maldives 41.1% compare
- 75 United Kingdom 41.1% compare
More gender data for Norway
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 850.35 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -0.9674 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 4,879 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 4,879 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 0.5298 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 26,013 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 27,570 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 26,104 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 27,639 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 26,158 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Norway?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Norway was 41.1% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Norway?
- The highest recorded value was 47.7% in 1862.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Norway?
- The lowest recorded value was 34.5% in 1986.
- How does Norway rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Norway ranks 73rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Norway?
- Over the last ten years it is up 3.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Norway data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.