Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guatemala
Guatemala: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 42.6% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
42.6%
Change on year
up 2.5%
World rank
41st
of 236 countries
All-time high
49.7%
in 1960
All-time low
36.2%
in 1982
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guatemala, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Guatemala recorded 42.6% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
The figure is up 2.5% on the previous year and up 1.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guatemala peaked at 49.7% in 1960 and was at its lowest, 36.2%, in 1982.
That places Guatemala 41st out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guatemala, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 49.6% | — |
| 1951 | 49.4% | -0.2% |
| 1952 | 49.5% | +0.0% |
| 1953 | 49.5% | +0.0% |
| 1954 | 49.5% | -0.0% |
| 1955 | 49.5% | +0.1% |
| 1956 | 49.5% | +0.0% |
| 1957 | 49.5% | +0.0% |
| 1958 | 49.6% | +0.1% |
| 1959 | 49.6% | -0.0% |
| 1960 | 49.7% | +0.2% |
| 1961 | 49.5% | -0.3% |
| 1962 | 49.4% | -0.4% |
| 1963 | 48.9% | -1.0% |
| 1964 | 48.6% | -0.6% |
| 1965 | 48.2% | -0.7% |
| 1966 | 47.8% | -1.0% |
| 1967 | 47.5% | -0.5% |
| 1968 | 47.0% | -1.0% |
| 1969 | 46.6% | -0.9% |
| 1970 | 46.3% | -0.6% |
| 1971 | 46.0% | -0.8% |
| 1972 | 45.7% | -0.5% |
| 1973 | 45.6% | -0.3% |
| 1974 | 45.3% | -0.5% |
| 1975 | 45.4% | +0.1% |
| 1976 | 47.7% | +5.1% |
| 1977 | 44.9% | -5.9% |
| 1978 | 43.8% | -2.3% |
| 1979 | 43.0% | -1.8% |
| 1980 | 41.0% | -4.8% |
| 1981 | 39.2% | -4.3% |
| 1982 | 36.2% | -7.7% |
| 1983 | 43.0% | +18.8% |
| 1984 | 43.4% | +0.9% |
| 1985 | 43.1% | -0.8% |
| 1986 | 42.5% | -1.3% |
| 1987 | 42.6% | +0.1% |
| 1988 | 42.6% | +0.1% |
| 1989 | 42.5% | -0.4% |
| 1990 | 42.2% | -0.7% |
| 1991 | 42.0% | -0.5% |
| 1992 | 41.9% | -0.3% |
| 1993 | 42.0% | +0.3% |
| 1994 | 41.4% | -1.3% |
| 1995 | 41.1% | -0.8% |
| 1996 | 40.9% | -0.5% |
| 1997 | 40.6% | -0.7% |
| 1998 | 40.7% | +0.2% |
| 1999 | 40.9% | +0.3% |
| 2000 | 40.8% | -0.2% |
| 2001 | 40.8% | +0.0% |
| 2002 | 40.6% | -0.5% |
| 2003 | 40.9% | +0.7% |
| 2004 | 40.7% | -0.3% |
| 2005 | 41.1% | +1.0% |
| 2006 | 40.9% | -0.5% |
| 2007 | 41.0% | +0.2% |
| 2008 | 41.1% | +0.2% |
| 2009 | 41.4% | +0.6% |
| 2010 | 41.8% | +1.0% |
| 2011 | 41.9% | +0.4% |
| 2012 | 42.0% | +0.1% |
| 2013 | 42.0% | +0.0% |
| 2014 | 42.0% | +0.0% |
| 2015 | 42.1% | +0.2% |
| 2016 | 42.1% | +0.1% |
| 2017 | 42.2% | +0.3% |
| 2018 | 42.9% | +1.4% |
| 2019 | 42.5% | -0.9% |
| 2020 | 38.5% | -9.3% |
| 2021 | 39.1% | +1.5% |
| 2022 | 41.6% | +6.2% |
| 2023 | 42.6% | +2.5% |
Guatemala compared with similar countries
- Guatemala's 42.6% is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 38.4%, 1.1× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Guatemala's 42.6% is above the median for Latin America & Caribbean, which is 38.2%, 1.1× the median. (42 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 49.5% | 49.4% | 49.6% | 10 |
| 1960s | 48.3% | 46.6% | 49.7% | 10 |
| 1970s | 45.4% | 43.0% | 47.7% | 10 |
| 1980s | 41.6% | 36.2% | 43.4% | 10 |
| 1990s | 41.4% | 40.6% | 42.2% | 10 |
| 2000s | 40.9% | 40.6% | 41.4% | 10 |
| 2010s | 42.1% | 41.8% | 42.9% | 10 |
| 2020s | 40.5% | 38.5% | 42.6% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Guatemala
More gender data for Guatemala
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 5,681 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -0.5138 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 14,386 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 14,386 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 2.14 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 183,639 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 190,265 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 182,353 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 188,776 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 181,168 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guatemala?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Guatemala was 42.6% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Guatemala?
- The highest recorded value was 49.7% in 1960.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Guatemala?
- The lowest recorded value was 36.2% in 1982.
- How does Guatemala rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Guatemala ranks 41st out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Guatemala?
- Over the last ten years it is up 1.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Guatemala data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.