Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Botswana
Botswana: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 41.1% in 2023. ▬ Flat
Latest (2023)
41.1%
Change on year
down 0.7%
World rank
73rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
45.8%
in 1950
All-time low
39.4%
in 1989
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Botswana, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability that a man will outlive a woman in Botswana is 41.1%, measured in 2023.
That represents a change of down 0.7% on the previous year and down 7.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Botswana peaked at 45.8% in 1950 and was at its lowest, 39.4%, in 1989.
That places Botswana 73rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Botswana, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 45.8% | — |
| 1951 | 45.7% | -0.1% |
| 1952 | 45.7% | -0.0% |
| 1953 | 45.7% | -0.0% |
| 1954 | 45.7% | -0.0% |
| 1955 | 45.6% | -0.1% |
| 1956 | 45.5% | -0.1% |
| 1957 | 45.5% | -0.2% |
| 1958 | 45.4% | -0.2% |
| 1959 | 45.3% | -0.2% |
| 1960 | 45.1% | -0.3% |
| 1961 | 45.0% | -0.3% |
| 1962 | 45.0% | -0.1% |
| 1963 | 44.8% | -0.4% |
| 1964 | 44.6% | -0.4% |
| 1965 | 44.4% | -0.4% |
| 1966 | 44.2% | -0.6% |
| 1967 | 44.0% | -0.4% |
| 1968 | 43.9% | -0.3% |
| 1969 | 43.7% | -0.3% |
| 1970 | 43.6% | -0.1% |
| 1971 | 43.5% | -0.3% |
| 1972 | 43.4% | -0.3% |
| 1973 | 43.3% | -0.3% |
| 1974 | 43.1% | -0.3% |
| 1975 | 43.1% | -0.2% |
| 1976 | 42.8% | -0.5% |
| 1977 | 42.7% | -0.4% |
| 1978 | 42.5% | -0.5% |
| 1979 | 42.4% | -0.2% |
| 1980 | 42.1% | -0.7% |
| 1981 | 41.9% | -0.4% |
| 1982 | 41.7% | -0.6% |
| 1983 | 41.2% | -1.0% |
| 1984 | 40.9% | -0.8% |
| 1985 | 40.5% | -1.0% |
| 1986 | 40.4% | -0.4% |
| 1987 | 39.9% | -1.2% |
| 1988 | 39.7% | -0.4% |
| 1989 | 39.4% | -0.8% |
| 1990 | 39.4% | +0.1% |
| 1991 | 39.5% | +0.2% |
| 1992 | 41.2% | +4.3% |
| 1993 | 42.4% | +3.0% |
| 1994 | 42.4% | -0.1% |
| 1995 | 42.0% | -0.8% |
| 1996 | 43.6% | +3.7% |
| 1997 | 44.3% | +1.7% |
| 1998 | 44.8% | +1.0% |
| 1999 | 45.2% | +1.0% |
| 2000 | 45.4% | +0.5% |
| 2001 | 45.5% | +0.1% |
| 2002 | 45.3% | -0.3% |
| 2003 | 45.3% | -0.2% |
| 2004 | 45.2% | -0.1% |
| 2005 | 44.9% | -0.6% |
| 2006 | 45.6% | +1.6% |
| 2007 | 45.4% | -0.6% |
| 2008 | 45.2% | -0.4% |
| 2009 | 43.9% | -3.0% |
| 2010 | 43.3% | -1.3% |
| 2011 | 43.7% | +1.0% |
| 2012 | 44.1% | +1.0% |
| 2013 | 44.2% | +0.2% |
| 2014 | 44.2% | -0.1% |
| 2015 | 43.9% | -0.7% |
| 2016 | 43.4% | -1.2% |
| 2017 | 42.8% | -1.4% |
| 2018 | 42.2% | -1.3% |
| 2019 | 41.9% | -0.8% |
| 2020 | 40.4% | -3.6% |
| 2021 | 42.6% | +5.6% |
| 2022 | 41.4% | -2.9% |
| 2023 | 41.1% | -0.7% |
Botswana compared with similar countries
- Botswana's 41.1% is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 38.4%, 1.1× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Botswana's 41.1% is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 42.6%, 97% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 45.6% | 45.3% | 45.8% | 10 |
| 1960s | 44.5% | 43.7% | 45.1% | 10 |
| 1970s | 43.0% | 42.4% | 43.6% | 10 |
| 1980s | 40.8% | 39.4% | 42.1% | 10 |
| 1990s | 42.5% | 39.4% | 45.2% | 10 |
| 2000s | 45.2% | 43.9% | 45.6% | 10 |
| 2010s | 43.4% | 41.9% | 44.2% | 10 |
| 2020s | 41.4% | 40.4% | 42.6% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Botswana
- 70 Mexico 41.3% compare
- 71 Marshall Islands 41.2% compare
- 72 Saudi Arabia 41.1% compare
- 73 Norway 41.1% compare
- 75 Maldives 41.1% compare
- 75 United Kingdom 41.1% compare
More gender data for Botswana
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 855.49 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth 0.6449 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 1,910 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 1,910 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 1.83 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 29,466 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 30,240 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 29,267 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 30,023 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 29,174 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Botswana?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Botswana was 41.1% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Botswana?
- The highest recorded value was 45.8% in 1950.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Botswana?
- The lowest recorded value was 39.4% in 1989.
- How does Botswana rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Botswana ranks 73rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Botswana?
- Over the last ten years it is down 7.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
- Where does this Botswana data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 74 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).
About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.