Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Jersey
Jersey: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 39.1% in 2023. ▬ Flat
Latest (2023)
39.1%
Change on year
up 0.6%
World rank
123rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
40.2%
in 1952
All-time low
35.9%
in 1982
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Jersey, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Jersey recorded 39.1% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
The figure is up 0.6% on the previous year and up 4.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Jersey peaked at 40.2% in 1952 and was at its lowest, 35.9%, in 1982.
That places Jersey 123rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Jersey, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 40.1% | — |
| 1951 | 40.1% | +0.0% |
| 1952 | 40.2% | +0.3% |
| 1953 | 40.2% | -0.2% |
| 1954 | 40.0% | -0.3% |
| 1955 | 39.9% | -0.4% |
| 1956 | 39.4% | -1.1% |
| 1957 | 38.9% | -1.2% |
| 1958 | 38.5% | -1.2% |
| 1959 | 38.0% | -1.2% |
| 1960 | 37.7% | -0.8% |
| 1961 | 37.6% | -0.3% |
| 1962 | 37.5% | -0.3% |
| 1963 | 37.5% | -0.0% |
| 1964 | 37.5% | +0.1% |
| 1965 | 37.8% | +0.5% |
| 1966 | 38.0% | +0.7% |
| 1967 | 38.2% | +0.4% |
| 1968 | 38.3% | +0.2% |
| 1969 | 38.3% | +0.1% |
| 1970 | 38.0% | -0.8% |
| 1971 | 37.5% | -1.3% |
| 1972 | 37.2% | -0.8% |
| 1973 | 36.9% | -0.6% |
| 1974 | 36.9% | -0.2% |
| 1975 | 37.1% | +0.6% |
| 1976 | 37.4% | +0.8% |
| 1977 | 37.6% | +0.5% |
| 1978 | 37.4% | -0.3% |
| 1979 | 37.1% | -0.9% |
| 1980 | 36.5% | -1.5% |
| 1981 | 36.1% | -1.2% |
| 1982 | 35.9% | -0.6% |
| 1983 | 36.1% | +0.6% |
| 1984 | 36.3% | +0.4% |
| 1985 | 36.5% | +0.5% |
| 1986 | 36.6% | +0.4% |
| 1987 | 36.5% | -0.1% |
| 1988 | 36.5% | -0.2% |
| 1989 | 36.8% | +1.0% |
| 1990 | 37.1% | +1.0% |
| 1991 | 37.5% | +0.8% |
| 1992 | 37.7% | +0.6% |
| 1993 | 37.8% | +0.4% |
| 1994 | 37.8% | +0.0% |
| 1995 | 37.8% | -0.1% |
| 1996 | 37.7% | -0.3% |
| 1997 | 37.7% | -0.1% |
| 1998 | 37.6% | -0.1% |
| 1999 | 37.6% | -0.2% |
| 2000 | 37.5% | -0.1% |
| 2001 | 37.6% | +0.1% |
| 2002 | 37.6% | +0.1% |
| 2003 | 37.6% | -0.1% |
| 2004 | 37.6% | -0.1% |
| 2005 | 37.5% | -0.2% |
| 2006 | 37.5% | -0.1% |
| 2007 | 37.5% | +0.1% |
| 2008 | 37.5% | +0.1% |
| 2009 | 37.5% | +0.0% |
| 2010 | 37.6% | +0.1% |
| 2011 | 37.5% | -0.1% |
| 2012 | 37.5% | -0.2% |
| 2013 | 37.3% | -0.3% |
| 2014 | 37.3% | -0.2% |
| 2015 | 37.2% | -0.3% |
| 2016 | 37.2% | +0.0% |
| 2017 | 37.2% | +0.2% |
| 2018 | 37.5% | +0.6% |
| 2019 | 37.8% | +0.9% |
| 2020 | 37.9% | +0.3% |
| 2021 | 38.5% | +1.6% |
| 2022 | 38.8% | +0.9% |
| 2023 | 39.1% | +0.6% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 39.5% | 38.0% | 40.2% | 10 |
| 1960s | 37.8% | 37.5% | 38.3% | 10 |
| 1970s | 37.3% | 36.9% | 38.0% | 10 |
| 1980s | 36.4% | 35.9% | 36.8% | 10 |
| 1990s | 37.6% | 37.1% | 37.8% | 10 |
| 2000s | 37.5% | 37.5% | 37.6% | 10 |
| 2010s | 37.4% | 37.2% | 37.8% | 10 |
| 2020s | 38.6% | 37.9% | 39.1% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Jersey
- 120 Turks and Caicos Islands 39.2% compare
- 121 Cyprus 39.1% compare
- 121 North Macedonia 39.1% compare
- 124 Falkland Islands 39.0% compare
- 125 South Africa 39.0% compare
- 126 Argentina 39.0% compare
More gender data for Jersey
- Sex ratio at birth 105.28 males per 100 females (2023)
- Sex ratio at age 5 105.05 males per 100 females (2023)
- Sex ratio by age 20 males per 100 females (2023)
- Sex ratio at birth vs. at five years old 105.28 males per 100 females (2023)
- Probability of dying that year, among females 0.8% (2023)
- Sex ratio at age 60 98.87 males per 100 females (2023)
- Male population by age group 2,295 people (2023)
- Female population by age group 2,138 people (2023)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Jersey?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Jersey was 39.1% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Jersey?
- The highest recorded value was 40.2% in 1952.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Jersey?
- The lowest recorded value was 35.9% in 1982.
- How does Jersey rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Jersey ranks 123rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Jersey?
- Over the last ten years it is up 4.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is flat.
- Where does this Jersey data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.