Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tonga
Tonga: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 35.7% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
35.7%
Change on year
down 0.2%
World rank
193rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
42.6%
in 1959
All-time low
35.3%
in 2003
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tonga, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tonga stood at 35.7%.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.2% on the previous year and up 0.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tonga peaked at 42.6% in 1959 and was at its lowest, 35.3%, in 2003.
Tonga ranks 193rd of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tonga, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 42.3% | — |
| 1951 | 42.3% | -0.0% |
| 1952 | 42.4% | +0.2% |
| 1953 | 42.5% | +0.3% |
| 1954 | 42.3% | -0.4% |
| 1955 | 42.3% | +0.1% |
| 1956 | 42.4% | +0.0% |
| 1957 | 42.4% | +0.1% |
| 1958 | 42.4% | -0.0% |
| 1959 | 42.6% | +0.5% |
| 1960 | 42.6% | -0.1% |
| 1961 | 42.6% | +0.1% |
| 1962 | 42.5% | -0.2% |
| 1963 | 42.5% | -0.1% |
| 1964 | 42.4% | -0.2% |
| 1965 | 42.4% | +0.0% |
| 1966 | 42.2% | -0.4% |
| 1967 | 42.2% | -0.2% |
| 1968 | 42.0% | -0.4% |
| 1969 | 41.9% | -0.3% |
| 1970 | 41.5% | -0.7% |
| 1971 | 41.1% | -1.2% |
| 1972 | 40.6% | -1.0% |
| 1973 | 40.4% | -0.7% |
| 1974 | 40.1% | -0.7% |
| 1975 | 39.7% | -1.0% |
| 1976 | 39.5% | -0.3% |
| 1977 | 39.4% | -0.5% |
| 1978 | 39.1% | -0.6% |
| 1979 | 38.9% | -0.6% |
| 1980 | 38.6% | -0.8% |
| 1981 | 38.3% | -0.8% |
| 1982 | 38.3% | +0.0% |
| 1983 | 37.9% | -1.2% |
| 1984 | 37.7% | -0.4% |
| 1985 | 37.5% | -0.5% |
| 1986 | 37.3% | -0.7% |
| 1987 | 37.1% | -0.5% |
| 1988 | 36.8% | -0.6% |
| 1989 | 36.7% | -0.4% |
| 1990 | 36.5% | -0.6% |
| 1991 | 36.3% | -0.4% |
| 1992 | 36.2% | -0.4% |
| 1993 | 35.9% | -0.6% |
| 1994 | 35.8% | -0.4% |
| 1995 | 35.7% | -0.4% |
| 1996 | 35.6% | -0.3% |
| 1997 | 35.5% | -0.2% |
| 1998 | 35.5% | -0.1% |
| 1999 | 35.5% | -0.1% |
| 2000 | 35.4% | -0.2% |
| 2001 | 35.5% | +0.2% |
| 2002 | 35.4% | -0.3% |
| 2003 | 35.3% | -0.1% |
| 2004 | 35.4% | +0.1% |
| 2005 | 35.5% | +0.5% |
| 2006 | 35.5% | -0.1% |
| 2007 | 35.5% | +0.1% |
| 2008 | 35.5% | -0.0% |
| 2009 | 35.6% | +0.4% |
| 2010 | 35.5% | -0.4% |
| 2011 | 35.5% | +0.0% |
| 2012 | 35.5% | +0.0% |
| 2013 | 35.5% | +0.0% |
| 2014 | 35.6% | +0.1% |
| 2015 | 35.5% | -0.1% |
| 2016 | 35.5% | +0.1% |
| 2017 | 35.6% | +0.2% |
| 2018 | 35.6% | -0.1% |
| 2019 | 35.6% | +0.1% |
| 2020 | 35.5% | -0.3% |
| 2021 | 35.8% | +1.0% |
| 2022 | 35.7% | -0.3% |
| 2023 | 35.7% | -0.2% |
Tonga compared with similar countries
- Tonga's 35.7% is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 38.4%, 93% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Tonga's 35.7% is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 40.0%, 89% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 42.4% | 42.3% | 42.6% | 10 |
| 1960s | 42.3% | 41.9% | 42.6% | 10 |
| 1970s | 40.0% | 38.9% | 41.5% | 10 |
| 1980s | 37.6% | 36.7% | 38.6% | 10 |
| 1990s | 35.8% | 35.5% | 36.5% | 10 |
| 2000s | 35.5% | 35.3% | 35.6% | 10 |
| 2010s | 35.5% | 35.5% | 35.6% | 10 |
| 2020s | 35.7% | 35.5% | 35.8% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Tonga
- 190 Micronesia (country) 35.9% compare
- 191 China 35.9% compare
- 192 Martinique 35.8% compare
- 194 Saint Barthelemy 35.6% compare
- 195 Thailand 35.5% compare
- 196 Saint Lucia 35.5% compare
More gender data for Tonga
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 32.72 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -2.04 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 69.36 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 69.36 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 0.6867 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 1,112 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 1,200 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 1,106 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 1,195 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 1,110 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tonga?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tonga was 35.7% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Tonga?
- The highest recorded value was 42.6% in 1959.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Tonga?
- The lowest recorded value was 35.3% in 2003.
- How does Tonga rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Tonga ranks 193rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Tonga?
- Over the last ten years it is up 0.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Tonga data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.