Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tuvalu
Tuvalu: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 37.0% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tuvalu, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tuvalu stood at 37.0%. That is the lowest value across all 74 years on record.
That represents a change of down 0.5% on the previous year and down 3.6% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tuvalu peaked at 44.5% in 1953 and was at its lowest, 37.0%, in 2023.
Tuvalu ranks 171st of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tuvalu, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 44.4% | — |
| 1951 | 44.5% | +0.2% |
| 1952 | 44.5% | +0.1% |
| 1953 | 44.5% | +0.0% |
| 1954 | 44.5% | -0.1% |
| 1955 | 44.4% | -0.3% |
| 1956 | 44.2% | -0.4% |
| 1957 | 44.0% | -0.4% |
| 1958 | 44.0% | -0.1% |
| 1959 | 43.9% | -0.1% |
| 1960 | 43.8% | -0.2% |
| 1961 | 43.7% | -0.3% |
| 1962 | 43.6% | -0.2% |
| 1963 | 43.5% | -0.4% |
| 1964 | 43.4% | -0.3% |
| 1965 | 43.2% | -0.4% |
| 1966 | 43.0% | -0.4% |
| 1967 | 42.9% | -0.4% |
| 1968 | 42.4% | -1.1% |
| 1969 | 42.0% | -0.8% |
| 1970 | 41.7% | -0.8% |
| 1971 | 41.3% | -0.9% |
| 1972 | 42.7% | +3.3% |
| 1973 | 40.8% | -4.4% |
| 1974 | 40.9% | +0.3% |
| 1975 | 40.9% | -0.1% |
| 1976 | 40.9% | -0.1% |
| 1977 | 40.8% | -0.1% |
| 1978 | 40.8% | -0.1% |
| 1979 | 40.9% | +0.2% |
| 1980 | 40.8% | -0.2% |
| 1981 | 40.8% | +0.1% |
| 1982 | 40.7% | -0.3% |
| 1983 | 40.6% | -0.3% |
| 1984 | 40.5% | -0.1% |
| 1985 | 40.3% | -0.4% |
| 1986 | 40.2% | -0.2% |
| 1987 | 40.2% | -0.1% |
| 1988 | 40.3% | +0.2% |
| 1989 | 40.3% | +0.0% |
| 1990 | 40.4% | +0.2% |
| 1991 | 40.4% | +0.0% |
| 1992 | 41.2% | +2.0% |
| 1993 | 40.6% | -1.6% |
| 1994 | 40.7% | +0.4% |
| 1995 | 40.8% | +0.2% |
| 1996 | 40.9% | +0.1% |
| 1997 | 40.9% | +0.0% |
| 1998 | 41.0% | +0.4% |
| 1999 | 41.0% | -0.1% |
| 2000 | 41.0% | +0.0% |
| 2001 | 40.9% | -0.2% |
| 2002 | 40.8% | -0.4% |
| 2003 | 40.6% | -0.3% |
| 2004 | 40.4% | -0.4% |
| 2005 | 40.2% | -0.5% |
| 2006 | 40.1% | -0.2% |
| 2007 | 40.0% | -0.4% |
| 2008 | 39.7% | -0.7% |
| 2009 | 39.6% | -0.4% |
| 2010 | 39.2% | -0.8% |
| 2011 | 39.0% | -0.7% |
| 2012 | 38.6% | -0.9% |
| 2013 | 38.3% | -0.7% |
| 2014 | 38.0% | -0.7% |
| 2015 | 37.6% | -1.1% |
| 2016 | 37.5% | -0.4% |
| 2017 | 37.5% | -0.1% |
| 2018 | 37.3% | -0.3% |
| 2019 | 37.3% | -0.2% |
| 2020 | 37.2% | -0.1% |
| 2021 | 37.0% | -0.5% |
| 2022 | 37.1% | +0.3% |
| 2023 | 37.0% | -0.5% |
Tuvalu compared with similar countries
- Tuvalu's 37.0% is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 38.4%, 96% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Tuvalu's 37.0% is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 40.0%, 92% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 44.3% | 43.9% | 44.5% | 10 |
| 1960s | 43.1% | 42.0% | 43.8% | 10 |
| 1970s | 41.2% | 40.8% | 42.7% | 10 |
| 1980s | 40.5% | 40.2% | 40.8% | 10 |
| 1990s | 40.8% | 40.4% | 41.2% | 10 |
| 2000s | 40.3% | 39.6% | 41.0% | 10 |
| 2010s | 38.0% | 37.3% | 39.2% | 10 |
| 2020s | 37.1% | 37.0% | 37.2% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Tuvalu
More gender data for Tuvalu
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 96 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 102 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 98 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 105 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 103 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, male, interpolated 110 (2025)
- Age population, age 03, female, interpolated 97 (2025)
- Age population, age 03, male, interpolated 111 (2025)
- Age population, age 04, female, interpolated 92 (2025)
- Age population, age 04, male, interpolated 110 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tuvalu?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Tuvalu was 37.0% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Tuvalu?
- The highest recorded value was 44.5% in 1953.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Tuvalu?
- The lowest recorded value was 37.0% in 2023.
- How does Tuvalu rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Tuvalu ranks 171st out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Tuvalu?
- Over the last ten years it is down 3.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Tuvalu data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.