Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Italy
Italy: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 38.7% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
38.7%
Change on year
up 2.8%
World rank
133rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
49.9%
in 1885
All-time low
35.0%
in 1991
Years of data
152
1872–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Italy, 1872–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Italy recorded 38.7% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
That represents a change of up 2.8% on the previous year and up 2.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Italy peaked at 49.9% in 1885 and was at its lowest, 35.0%, in 1991.
That places Italy 133rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 152 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Italy, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1872 | 48.8% | — |
| 1873 | 49.4% | +1.2% |
| 1874 | 49.3% | -0.2% |
| 1875 | 49.2% | -0.3% |
| 1876 | 49.1% | -0.1% |
| 1877 | 49.3% | +0.3% |
| 1878 | 49.3% | +0.1% |
| 1879 | 49.4% | +0.1% |
| 1880 | 48.9% | -0.8% |
| 1881 | 49.2% | +0.6% |
| 1882 | 49.1% | -0.2% |
| 1883 | 49.6% | +0.9% |
| 1884 | 49.6% | +0.1% |
| 1885 | 49.9% | +0.5% |
| 1886 | 49.8% | -0.2% |
| 1887 | 49.7% | -0.1% |
| 1888 | 49.5% | -0.4% |
| 1889 | 49.6% | +0.2% |
| 1890 | 49.6% | -0.1% |
| 1891 | 49.7% | +0.1% |
| 1892 | 49.6% | -0.1% |
| 1893 | 49.4% | -0.4% |
| 1894 | 49.5% | +0.2% |
| 1895 | 49.2% | -0.6% |
| 1896 | 49.2% | -0.0% |
| 1897 | 49.6% | +0.8% |
| 1898 | 49.3% | -0.6% |
| 1899 | 49.5% | +0.3% |
| 1900 | 49.5% | +0.0% |
| 1901 | 49.2% | -0.5% |
| 1902 | 49.3% | +0.2% |
| 1903 | 49.1% | -0.4% |
| 1904 | 49.2% | +0.2% |
| 1905 | 49.2% | -0.1% |
| 1906 | 49.1% | -0.2% |
| 1907 | 49.1% | +0.1% |
| 1908 | 48.9% | -0.6% |
| 1909 | 48.5% | -0.8% |
| 1910 | 48.8% | +0.8% |
| 1911 | 49.2% | +0.9% |
| 1912 | 48.8% | -1.0% |
| 1913 | 48.9% | +0.3% |
| 1914 | 48.7% | -0.4% |
| 1915 | 42.6% | -12.5% |
| 1916 | 39.4% | -7.5% |
| 1917 | 36.0% | -8.6% |
| 1918 | 46.2% | +28.2% |
| 1919 | 44.1% | -4.6% |
| 1920 | 48.7% | +10.4% |
| 1921 | 48.3% | -0.8% |
| 1922 | 48.4% | +0.2% |
| 1923 | 48.4% | -0.0% |
| 1924 | 47.9% | -1.0% |
| 1925 | 47.4% | -0.9% |
| 1926 | 47.7% | +0.6% |
| 1927 | 47.8% | +0.2% |
| 1928 | 47.5% | -0.6% |
| 1929 | 47.3% | -0.4% |
| 1930 | 47.0% | -0.7% |
| 1931 | 47.0% | +0.1% |
| 1932 | 46.7% | -0.7% |
| 1933 | 46.7% | -0.0% |
| 1934 | 46.6% | -0.3% |
| 1935 | 46.5% | -0.1% |
| 1936 | 46.1% | -0.9% |
| 1937 | 46.2% | +0.3% |
| 1938 | 46.2% | +0.0% |
| 1939 | 46.1% | -0.2% |
| 1940 | 44.8% | -2.9% |
| 1941 | 42.2% | -5.6% |
| 1942 | 39.7% | -6.1% |
| 1943 | 37.2% | -6.3% |
| 1944 | 39.8% | +7.0% |
| 1945 | 41.9% | +5.4% |
| 1946 | 45.5% | +8.5% |
| 1947 | 45.1% | -0.8% |
| 1948 | 45.4% | +0.7% |
| 1949 | 45.3% | -0.3% |
| 1950 | 44.3% | -2.1% |
| 1951 | 44.0% | -0.8% |
| 1952 | 43.7% | -0.6% |
| 1953 | 43.5% | -0.5% |
| 1954 | 42.9% | -1.3% |
| 1955 | 42.4% | -1.0% |
| 1956 | 41.9% | -1.4% |
| 1957 | 41.5% | -0.9% |
| 1958 | 41.4% | -0.2% |
| 1959 | 41.2% | -0.4% |
| 1960 | 40.5% | -1.7% |
| 1961 | 40.1% | -1.1% |
| 1962 | 39.7% | -0.8% |
| 1963 | 39.4% | -0.8% |
| 1964 | 39.1% | -0.8% |
| 1965 | 38.9% | -0.5% |
| 1966 | 38.8% | -0.5% |
| 1967 | 38.7% | -0.2% |
| 1968 | 38.3% | -1.0% |
| 1969 | 37.8% | -1.3% |
| 1970 | 38.0% | +0.7% |
| 1971 | 37.7% | -1.0% |
| 1972 | 37.4% | -0.6% |
| 1973 | 37.2% | -0.5% |
| 1974 | 36.8% | -1.2% |
| 1975 | 36.2% | -1.7% |
| 1976 | 36.0% | -0.6% |
| 1977 | 35.6% | -1.1% |
| 1978 | 35.3% | -0.9% |
| 1979 | 35.1% | -0.5% |
| 1980 | 35.0% | -0.1% |
| 1981 | 35.1% | +0.1% |
| 1982 | 35.2% | +0.5% |
| 1983 | 35.0% | -0.6% |
| 1984 | 35.1% | +0.1% |
| 1985 | 35.1% | +0.1% |
| 1986 | 35.1% | +0.0% |
| 1987 | 35.1% | +0.1% |
| 1988 | 35.2% | +0.1% |
| 1989 | 35.1% | -0.1% |
| 1990 | 35.1% | -0.0% |
| 1991 | 35.0% | -0.3% |
| 1992 | 35.2% | +0.4% |
| 1993 | 35.2% | +0.2% |
| 1994 | 35.1% | -0.2% |
| 1995 | 35.1% | -0.1% |
| 1996 | 35.3% | +0.5% |
| 1997 | 35.3% | +0.1% |
| 1998 | 35.3% | -0.1% |
| 1999 | 35.4% | +0.1% |
| 2000 | 35.7% | +0.8% |
| 2001 | 35.7% | -0.0% |
| 2002 | 35.8% | +0.4% |
| 2003 | 36.1% | +0.8% |
| 2004 | 35.9% | -0.5% |
| 2005 | 36.2% | +0.6% |
| 2006 | 36.3% | +0.4% |
| 2007 | 36.6% | +0.8% |
| 2008 | 36.8% | +0.4% |
| 2009 | 37.0% | +0.8% |
| 2010 | 37.0% | -0.1% |
| 2011 | 37.3% | +0.8% |
| 2012 | 37.5% | +0.6% |
| 2013 | 37.6% | +0.3% |
| 2014 | 37.8% | +0.5% |
| 2015 | 38.3% | +1.2% |
| 2016 | 38.1% | -0.3% |
| 2017 | 38.4% | +0.6% |
| 2018 | 38.6% | +0.5% |
| 2019 | 38.6% | +0.2% |
| 2020 | 37.5% | -2.9% |
| 2021 | 38.5% | +2.6% |
| 2022 | 37.6% | -2.2% |
| 2023 | 38.7% | +2.8% |
Italy compared with similar countries
- Italy's 38.7% is above the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 1.0× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Italy's 38.7% is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 1.0× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Italy changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1918 | +28.2% | 36.0% | 46.2% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1870s | 49.2% | 48.8% | 49.4% | 8 |
| 1880s | 49.5% | 48.9% | 49.9% | 10 |
| 1890s | 49.4% | 49.2% | 49.7% | 10 |
| 1900s | 49.1% | 48.5% | 49.5% | 10 |
| 1910s | 45.3% | 36.0% | 49.2% | 10 |
| 1920s | 47.9% | 47.3% | 48.7% | 10 |
| 1930s | 46.5% | 46.1% | 47.0% | 10 |
| 1940s | 42.7% | 37.2% | 45.5% | 10 |
| 1950s | 42.7% | 41.2% | 44.3% | 10 |
| 1960s | 39.1% | 37.8% | 40.5% | 10 |
| 1970s | 36.5% | 35.1% | 38.0% | 10 |
| 1980s | 35.1% | 35.0% | 35.2% | 10 |
| 1990s | 35.2% | 35.0% | 35.4% | 10 |
| 2000s | 36.2% | 35.7% | 37.0% | 10 |
| 2010s | 37.9% | 37.0% | 38.6% | 10 |
| 2020s | 38.1% | 37.5% | 38.7% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Italy
More gender data for Italy
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 6,215 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -1.82 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 51,731 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 51,731 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate -0.2695 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 186,934 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 198,063 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 188,382 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 199,674 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 193,267 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Italy?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Italy was 38.7% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Italy?
- The highest recorded value was 49.9% in 1885.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Italy?
- The lowest recorded value was 35.0% in 1991.
- How does Italy rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Italy ranks 133rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Italy?
- Over the last ten years it is up 2.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Italy data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 152 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).
About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.