Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Chile
Chile: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 42.4% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Chile, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Chile recorded 42.4% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
That represents a change of up 4.8% on the previous year and up 3.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Chile peaked at 44.2% in 1950 and was at its lowest, 35.7%, in 1984.
That places Chile 45th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Chile, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 44.2% | — |
| 1951 | 44.2% | -0.1% |
| 1952 | 44.1% | -0.1% |
| 1953 | 44.1% | -0.1% |
| 1954 | 44.0% | -0.2% |
| 1955 | 43.8% | -0.6% |
| 1956 | 43.0% | -1.6% |
| 1957 | 42.8% | -0.7% |
| 1958 | 43.0% | +0.5% |
| 1959 | 42.6% | -0.9% |
| 1960 | 42.4% | -0.4% |
| 1961 | 42.1% | -0.7% |
| 1962 | 42.0% | -0.3% |
| 1963 | 41.6% | -1.1% |
| 1964 | 41.5% | -0.1% |
| 1965 | 41.2% | -0.8% |
| 1966 | 41.1% | -0.3% |
| 1967 | 40.7% | -0.8% |
| 1968 | 40.5% | -0.6% |
| 1969 | 40.2% | -0.6% |
| 1970 | 39.8% | -0.9% |
| 1971 | 39.4% | -1.0% |
| 1972 | 39.1% | -0.8% |
| 1973 | 38.7% | -1.0% |
| 1974 | 38.8% | +0.3% |
| 1975 | 38.5% | -0.9% |
| 1976 | 38.6% | +0.3% |
| 1977 | 38.3% | -0.8% |
| 1978 | 38.0% | -0.9% |
| 1979 | 37.8% | -0.5% |
| 1980 | 37.4% | -1.0% |
| 1981 | 37.1% | -0.9% |
| 1982 | 36.5% | -1.6% |
| 1983 | 36.3% | -0.5% |
| 1984 | 35.7% | -1.5% |
| 1985 | 36.2% | +1.3% |
| 1986 | 36.5% | +0.9% |
| 1987 | 36.7% | +0.6% |
| 1988 | 36.6% | -0.5% |
| 1989 | 36.9% | +0.9% |
| 1990 | 36.5% | -1.0% |
| 1991 | 36.6% | +0.1% |
| 1992 | 36.6% | +0.0% |
| 1993 | 36.6% | +0.2% |
| 1994 | 36.6% | -0.1% |
| 1995 | 36.5% | -0.3% |
| 1996 | 36.7% | +0.4% |
| 1997 | 36.6% | -0.2% |
| 1998 | 36.8% | +0.4% |
| 1999 | 36.8% | +0.1% |
| 2000 | 37.0% | +0.5% |
| 2001 | 37.2% | +0.6% |
| 2002 | 37.1% | -0.3% |
| 2003 | 37.8% | +2.1% |
| 2004 | 38.1% | +0.8% |
| 2005 | 38.2% | +0.1% |
| 2006 | 38.8% | +1.6% |
| 2007 | 39.1% | +0.9% |
| 2008 | 39.4% | +0.7% |
| 2009 | 40.1% | +1.9% |
| 2010 | 40.0% | -0.3% |
| 2011 | 40.5% | +1.1% |
| 2012 | 40.5% | -0.0% |
| 2013 | 40.8% | +0.9% |
| 2014 | 40.6% | -0.5% |
| 2015 | 40.5% | -0.2% |
| 2016 | 40.7% | +0.4% |
| 2017 | 41.0% | +0.9% |
| 2018 | 40.9% | -0.4% |
| 2019 | 40.9% | +0.1% |
| 2020 | 38.5% | -5.9% |
| 2021 | 39.2% | +1.8% |
| 2022 | 40.4% | +3.2% |
| 2023 | 42.4% | +4.8% |
Chile compared with similar countries
- Chile's 42.4% is above the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Chile's 42.4% is above the median for Latin America & Caribbean, which is 38.2%, 1.1× the median. (42 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 43.6% | 42.6% | 44.2% | 10 |
| 1960s | 41.3% | 40.2% | 42.4% | 10 |
| 1970s | 38.7% | 37.8% | 39.8% | 10 |
| 1980s | 36.6% | 35.7% | 37.4% | 10 |
| 1990s | 36.6% | 36.5% | 36.8% | 10 |
| 2000s | 38.3% | 37.0% | 40.1% | 10 |
| 2010s | 40.6% | 40.0% | 41.0% | 10 |
| 2020s | 40.1% | 38.5% | 42.4% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Chile
More gender data for Chile
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 2,924 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -2.5 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 17,310 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 17,310 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 0.8066 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 84,176 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 87,774 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 86,136 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 89,748 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 90,628 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Chile?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Chile was 42.4% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Chile?
- The highest recorded value was 44.2% in 1950.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Chile?
- The lowest recorded value was 35.7% in 1984.
- How does Chile rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Chile ranks 45th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Chile?
- Over the last ten years it is up 3.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Chile data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.