Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Macao
Macao: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 37.9% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Macao, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Macao recorded 37.9% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
That represents a change of down 4.3% on the previous year and up 4.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Macao peaked at 45.3% in 1954 and was at its lowest, 34.4%, in 2016.
Macao ranks 158th of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Macao, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 44.8% | — |
| 1951 | 45.0% | +0.3% |
| 1952 | 45.1% | +0.4% |
| 1953 | 45.3% | +0.3% |
| 1954 | 45.3% | +0.1% |
| 1955 | 44.9% | -0.8% |
| 1956 | 44.1% | -1.9% |
| 1957 | 44.5% | +0.9% |
| 1958 | 45.2% | +1.6% |
| 1959 | 45.2% | -0.0% |
| 1960 | 44.8% | -0.8% |
| 1961 | 44.5% | -0.6% |
| 1962 | 44.0% | -1.2% |
| 1963 | 44.5% | +1.0% |
| 1964 | 44.7% | +0.5% |
| 1965 | 43.8% | -2.0% |
| 1966 | 44.0% | +0.4% |
| 1967 | 44.3% | +0.8% |
| 1968 | 44.5% | +0.6% |
| 1969 | 43.6% | -2.0% |
| 1970 | 44.4% | +1.8% |
| 1971 | 43.5% | -2.2% |
| 1972 | 43.4% | -0.1% |
| 1973 | 43.4% | -0.0% |
| 1974 | 43.4% | +0.0% |
| 1975 | 42.0% | -3.2% |
| 1976 | 43.0% | +2.5% |
| 1977 | 41.1% | -4.6% |
| 1978 | 41.7% | +1.5% |
| 1979 | 41.4% | -0.6% |
| 1980 | 41.4% | -0.0% |
| 1981 | 41.1% | -0.8% |
| 1982 | 42.1% | +2.6% |
| 1983 | 41.3% | -2.1% |
| 1984 | 40.2% | -2.6% |
| 1985 | 40.2% | +0.0% |
| 1986 | 40.2% | -0.0% |
| 1987 | 39.1% | -2.7% |
| 1988 | 39.3% | +0.6% |
| 1989 | 40.5% | +2.9% |
| 1990 | 40.9% | +1.0% |
| 1991 | 39.6% | -3.2% |
| 1992 | 39.9% | +0.9% |
| 1993 | 40.2% | +0.6% |
| 1994 | 38.0% | -5.3% |
| 1995 | 38.2% | +0.4% |
| 1996 | 36.1% | -5.4% |
| 1997 | 36.6% | +1.3% |
| 1998 | 36.6% | +0.0% |
| 1999 | 36.6% | +0.2% |
| 2000 | 36.5% | -0.5% |
| 2001 | 36.6% | +0.5% |
| 2002 | 36.8% | +0.3% |
| 2003 | 37.0% | +0.5% |
| 2004 | 36.5% | -1.3% |
| 2005 | 37.4% | +2.5% |
| 2006 | 37.0% | -1.1% |
| 2007 | 36.5% | -1.4% |
| 2008 | 36.5% | +0.2% |
| 2009 | 36.0% | -1.6% |
| 2010 | 35.5% | -1.2% |
| 2011 | 36.5% | +2.9% |
| 2012 | 36.4% | -0.4% |
| 2013 | 36.1% | -0.9% |
| 2014 | 36.1% | -0.1% |
| 2015 | 35.4% | -1.9% |
| 2016 | 34.4% | -2.8% |
| 2017 | 35.3% | +2.7% |
| 2018 | 34.9% | -1.2% |
| 2019 | 35.0% | +0.3% |
| 2020 | 39.2% | +12.0% |
| 2021 | 41.0% | +4.5% |
| 2022 | 39.6% | -3.4% |
| 2023 | 37.9% | -4.3% |
Macao compared with similar countries
- Macao's 37.9% is below the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 99% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Macao's 37.9% is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 40.0%, 95% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 44.9% | 44.1% | 45.3% | 10 |
| 1960s | 44.3% | 43.6% | 44.8% | 10 |
| 1970s | 42.7% | 41.1% | 44.4% | 10 |
| 1980s | 40.5% | 39.1% | 42.1% | 10 |
| 1990s | 38.3% | 36.1% | 40.9% | 10 |
| 2000s | 36.7% | 36.0% | 37.4% | 10 |
| 2010s | 35.6% | 34.4% | 36.5% | 10 |
| 2020s | 39.4% | 37.9% | 41.0% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Macao
More gender data for Macao
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 83.49 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -4.24 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 643.24 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 643.24 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 0.7825 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 2,205 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 2,367 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 2,257 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 2,416 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 2,317 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Macao?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Macao was 37.9% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Macao?
- The highest recorded value was 45.3% in 1954.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Macao?
- The lowest recorded value was 34.4% in 2016.
- How does Macao rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Macao ranks 158th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Macao?
- Over the last ten years it is up 4.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Macao data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.