Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Bulgaria
Bulgaria: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 34.4% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
34.4%
Change on year
up 0.9%
World rank
213th
of 236 countries
All-time high
45.9%
in 1948
All-time low
33.3%
in 2020
Years of data
77
1947–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Bulgaria, 1947–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Bulgaria recorded 34.4% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 0.9% on the previous year and down 0.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Bulgaria peaked at 45.9% in 1948 and was at its lowest, 33.3%, in 2020.
That places Bulgaria 213th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 77 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Bulgaria, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1947 | 45.7% | — |
| 1948 | 45.9% | +0.4% |
| 1949 | 45.6% | -0.4% |
| 1950 | 45.0% | -1.4% |
| 1951 | 45.5% | +1.2% |
| 1952 | 45.6% | +0.2% |
| 1953 | 44.7% | -2.1% |
| 1954 | 44.7% | +0.1% |
| 1955 | 44.9% | +0.4% |
| 1956 | 44.4% | -1.2% |
| 1957 | 44.5% | +0.3% |
| 1958 | 44.5% | +0.0% |
| 1959 | 44.2% | -0.8% |
| 1960 | 43.9% | -0.6% |
| 1961 | 43.7% | -0.5% |
| 1962 | 43.6% | -0.4% |
| 1963 | 44.0% | +1.1% |
| 1964 | 43.4% | -1.5% |
| 1965 | 43.1% | -0.6% |
| 1966 | 43.0% | -0.3% |
| 1967 | 42.2% | -1.7% |
| 1968 | 42.5% | +0.6% |
| 1969 | 41.5% | -2.2% |
| 1970 | 41.8% | +0.7% |
| 1971 | 40.8% | -2.3% |
| 1972 | 41.1% | +0.7% |
| 1973 | 41.0% | -0.3% |
| 1974 | 40.9% | -0.3% |
| 1975 | 40.2% | -1.6% |
| 1976 | 40.3% | +0.3% |
| 1977 | 39.6% | -1.6% |
| 1978 | 40.1% | +1.3% |
| 1979 | 39.2% | -2.3% |
| 1980 | 38.9% | -0.8% |
| 1981 | 39.0% | +0.2% |
| 1982 | 38.7% | -0.8% |
| 1983 | 37.7% | -2.4% |
| 1984 | 37.7% | -0.1% |
| 1985 | 37.2% | -1.4% |
| 1986 | 36.9% | -0.7% |
| 1987 | 37.0% | +0.2% |
| 1988 | 36.8% | -0.4% |
| 1989 | 36.7% | -0.5% |
| 1990 | 36.4% | -0.6% |
| 1991 | 37.1% | +1.7% |
| 1992 | 36.2% | -2.3% |
| 1993 | 35.1% | -2.9% |
| 1994 | 35.1% | -0.1% |
| 1995 | 34.9% | -0.6% |
| 1996 | 35.3% | +1.3% |
| 1997 | 35.6% | +0.9% |
| 1998 | 34.8% | -2.4% |
| 1999 | 36.0% | +3.4% |
| 2000 | 35.9% | -0.3% |
| 2001 | 35.6% | -0.8% |
| 2002 | 35.7% | +0.4% |
| 2003 | 35.1% | -1.7% |
| 2004 | 34.9% | -0.7% |
| 2005 | 34.7% | -0.6% |
| 2006 | 34.8% | +0.4% |
| 2007 | 34.8% | -0.1% |
| 2008 | 34.8% | +0.0% |
| 2009 | 34.9% | +0.3% |
| 2010 | 34.9% | +0.1% |
| 2011 | 34.7% | -0.6% |
| 2012 | 34.9% | +0.5% |
| 2013 | 34.4% | -1.4% |
| 2014 | 34.9% | +1.4% |
| 2015 | 34.7% | -0.5% |
| 2016 | 34.5% | -0.7% |
| 2017 | 34.7% | +0.5% |
| 2018 | 34.5% | -0.5% |
| 2019 | 34.2% | -0.7% |
| 2020 | 33.3% | -2.7% |
| 2021 | 34.1% | +2.3% |
| 2022 | 34.1% | +0.1% |
| 2023 | 34.4% | +0.9% |
Bulgaria compared with similar countries
- Bulgaria's 34.4% is below the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 90% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Bulgaria's 34.4% is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 92% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940s | 45.7% | 45.6% | 45.9% | 3 |
| 1950s | 44.8% | 44.2% | 45.6% | 10 |
| 1960s | 43.1% | 41.5% | 44.0% | 10 |
| 1970s | 40.5% | 39.2% | 41.8% | 10 |
| 1980s | 37.7% | 36.7% | 39.0% | 10 |
| 1990s | 35.7% | 34.8% | 37.1% | 10 |
| 2000s | 35.1% | 34.7% | 35.9% | 10 |
| 2010s | 34.6% | 34.2% | 34.9% | 10 |
| 2020s | 34.0% | 33.3% | 34.4% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Bulgaria
More gender data for Bulgaria
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 907.24 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -1.48 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 5,551 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 5,551 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate -0.7319 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 29,446 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 31,195 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 29,990 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 31,775 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 30,724 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Bulgaria?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Bulgaria was 34.4% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Bulgaria?
- The highest recorded value was 45.9% in 1948.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Bulgaria?
- The lowest recorded value was 33.3% in 2020.
- How does Bulgaria rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Bulgaria ranks 213th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Bulgaria?
- Over the last ten years it is down 0.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Bulgaria data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.