Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Portugal
Portugal: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 36.5% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
36.5%
Change on year
up 2.3%
World rank
183rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
44.7%
in 1941
All-time low
34.6%
in 2006
Years of data
84
1940–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Portugal, 1940–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Portugal recorded 36.5% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
That represents a change of up 2.3% on the previous year and up 2.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Portugal peaked at 44.7% in 1941 and was at its lowest, 34.6%, in 2006.
Portugal ranks 183rd of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 84 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Portugal, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1940 | 44.0% | — |
| 1941 | 44.7% | +1.7% |
| 1942 | 44.5% | -0.4% |
| 1943 | 44.0% | -1.0% |
| 1944 | 42.7% | -3.1% |
| 1945 | 42.7% | +0.0% |
| 1946 | 42.5% | -0.4% |
| 1947 | 42.9% | +0.7% |
| 1948 | 42.7% | -0.4% |
| 1949 | 42.6% | -0.1% |
| 1950 | 42.3% | -0.8% |
| 1951 | 42.0% | -0.6% |
| 1952 | 42.2% | +0.4% |
| 1953 | 41.8% | -0.9% |
| 1954 | 41.2% | -1.4% |
| 1955 | 41.3% | +0.2% |
| 1956 | 41.0% | -0.7% |
| 1957 | 41.2% | +0.4% |
| 1958 | 40.8% | -0.8% |
| 1959 | 40.5% | -0.7% |
| 1960 | 40.4% | -0.4% |
| 1961 | 40.8% | +1.0% |
| 1962 | 40.0% | -1.9% |
| 1963 | 39.5% | -1.4% |
| 1964 | 39.8% | +0.7% |
| 1965 | 39.0% | -1.8% |
| 1966 | 38.7% | -0.9% |
| 1967 | 38.6% | -0.2% |
| 1968 | 38.9% | +0.7% |
| 1969 | 38.2% | -1.7% |
| 1970 | 38.6% | +1.2% |
| 1971 | 38.0% | -1.6% |
| 1972 | 38.1% | +0.2% |
| 1973 | 38.3% | +0.5% |
| 1974 | 37.4% | -2.2% |
| 1975 | 36.4% | -2.7% |
| 1976 | 36.2% | -0.7% |
| 1977 | 36.2% | +0.0% |
| 1978 | 36.6% | +1.3% |
| 1979 | 36.8% | +0.5% |
| 1980 | 36.3% | -1.3% |
| 1981 | 36.2% | -0.5% |
| 1982 | 36.3% | +0.4% |
| 1983 | 36.2% | -0.4% |
| 1984 | 35.8% | -1.1% |
| 1985 | 35.8% | -0.1% |
| 1986 | 36.1% | +0.9% |
| 1987 | 36.0% | -0.1% |
| 1988 | 35.6% | -1.1% |
| 1989 | 35.7% | +0.2% |
| 1990 | 35.8% | +0.1% |
| 1991 | 35.5% | -0.8% |
| 1992 | 35.2% | -0.7% |
| 1993 | 35.2% | -0.2% |
| 1994 | 35.3% | +0.4% |
| 1995 | 35.2% | -0.2% |
| 1996 | 34.7% | -1.5% |
| 1997 | 35.2% | +1.4% |
| 1998 | 35.0% | -0.7% |
| 1999 | 35.1% | +0.3% |
| 2000 | 35.2% | +0.3% |
| 2001 | 35.2% | +0.2% |
| 2002 | 35.1% | -0.5% |
| 2003 | 35.4% | +1.0% |
| 2004 | 35.2% | -0.7% |
| 2005 | 35.2% | +0.1% |
| 2006 | 34.6% | -1.8% |
| 2007 | 35.2% | +1.9% |
| 2008 | 35.3% | +0.1% |
| 2009 | 35.7% | +1.1% |
| 2010 | 35.3% | -0.9% |
| 2011 | 35.7% | +1.0% |
| 2012 | 35.6% | -0.1% |
| 2013 | 35.5% | -0.5% |
| 2014 | 35.6% | +0.3% |
| 2015 | 36.0% | +1.1% |
| 2016 | 35.7% | -0.7% |
| 2017 | 36.0% | +0.9% |
| 2018 | 35.8% | -0.5% |
| 2019 | 36.4% | +1.5% |
| 2020 | 36.2% | -0.3% |
| 2021 | 36.2% | -0.2% |
| 2022 | 35.6% | -1.4% |
| 2023 | 36.5% | +2.3% |
Portugal compared with similar countries
- Portugal's 36.5% is below the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 96% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Portugal's 36.5% is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 98% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940s | 43.3% | 42.5% | 44.7% | 10 |
| 1950s | 41.4% | 40.5% | 42.3% | 10 |
| 1960s | 39.4% | 38.2% | 40.8% | 10 |
| 1970s | 37.3% | 36.2% | 38.6% | 10 |
| 1980s | 36.0% | 35.6% | 36.3% | 10 |
| 1990s | 35.2% | 34.7% | 35.8% | 10 |
| 2000s | 35.2% | 34.6% | 35.7% | 10 |
| 2010s | 35.8% | 35.3% | 36.4% | 10 |
| 2020s | 36.1% | 35.6% | 36.5% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Portugal
More gender data for Portugal
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 1,308 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth 0.1109 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 9,009 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 9,009 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate -0.2323 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 41,963 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 44,232 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 42,382 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 44,580 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 42,087 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Portugal?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Portugal was 36.5% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Portugal?
- The highest recorded value was 44.7% in 1941.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Portugal?
- The lowest recorded value was 34.6% in 2006.
- How does Portugal rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Portugal ranks 183rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Portugal?
- Over the last ten years it is up 2.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Portugal data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.