Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Germany
Germany: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 38.3% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Germany, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability that a man will outlive a woman in Germany is 38.3%, measured in 2023.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 1.3% on the previous year and up 1.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Germany peaked at 41.1% in 1955 and was at its lowest, 35.0%, in 1995.
That places Germany 143rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Germany, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 41.0% | — |
| 1951 | 41.0% | +0.0% |
| 1952 | 41.0% | +0.0% |
| 1953 | 41.1% | +0.0% |
| 1954 | 41.1% | +0.0% |
| 1955 | 41.1% | +0.0% |
| 1956 | 41.0% | -0.3% |
| 1957 | 40.4% | -1.3% |
| 1958 | 40.6% | +0.5% |
| 1959 | 40.2% | -1.0% |
| 1960 | 39.6% | -1.4% |
| 1961 | 39.6% | -0.2% |
| 1962 | 39.0% | -1.4% |
| 1963 | 38.8% | -0.7% |
| 1964 | 38.5% | -0.7% |
| 1965 | 38.3% | -0.5% |
| 1966 | 38.1% | -0.4% |
| 1967 | 37.9% | -0.6% |
| 1968 | 37.5% | -1.0% |
| 1969 | 37.2% | -0.7% |
| 1970 | 37.3% | +0.1% |
| 1971 | 37.2% | -0.1% |
| 1972 | 36.8% | -1.1% |
| 1973 | 36.6% | -0.5% |
| 1974 | 36.7% | +0.2% |
| 1975 | 36.3% | -1.1% |
| 1976 | 36.3% | +0.0% |
| 1977 | 36.0% | -0.7% |
| 1978 | 35.8% | -0.7% |
| 1979 | 35.8% | +0.1% |
| 1980 | 35.6% | -0.6% |
| 1981 | 35.6% | +0.1% |
| 1982 | 35.6% | -0.1% |
| 1983 | 35.5% | -0.3% |
| 1984 | 35.5% | -0.1% |
| 1985 | 35.4% | -0.3% |
| 1986 | 35.6% | +0.6% |
| 1987 | 35.4% | -0.4% |
| 1988 | 35.5% | +0.2% |
| 1989 | 35.5% | -0.1% |
| 1990 | 35.3% | -0.5% |
| 1991 | 35.2% | -0.2% |
| 1992 | 35.2% | -0.2% |
| 1993 | 35.1% | -0.2% |
| 1994 | 35.2% | +0.2% |
| 1995 | 35.0% | -0.4% |
| 1996 | 35.2% | +0.5% |
| 1997 | 35.3% | +0.3% |
| 1998 | 35.5% | +0.5% |
| 1999 | 35.6% | +0.3% |
| 2000 | 35.7% | +0.3% |
| 2001 | 36.0% | +0.8% |
| 2002 | 36.2% | +0.6% |
| 2003 | 36.2% | -0.1% |
| 2004 | 36.4% | +0.6% |
| 2005 | 36.6% | +0.5% |
| 2006 | 36.8% | +0.7% |
| 2007 | 36.8% | -0.1% |
| 2008 | 37.2% | +1.0% |
| 2009 | 37.2% | +0.2% |
| 2010 | 37.4% | +0.4% |
| 2011 | 37.7% | +0.8% |
| 2012 | 37.8% | +0.2% |
| 2013 | 37.9% | +0.4% |
| 2014 | 38.0% | +0.1% |
| 2015 | 38.0% | +0.1% |
| 2016 | 38.0% | +0.0% |
| 2017 | 38.2% | +0.5% |
| 2018 | 38.3% | +0.3% |
| 2019 | 38.4% | +0.1% |
| 2020 | 38.0% | -1.0% |
| 2021 | 37.9% | -0.1% |
| 2022 | 37.8% | -0.4% |
| 2023 | 38.3% | +1.3% |
Germany compared with similar countries
- Germany's 38.3% is above the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 1.0× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Germany's 38.3% is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 1.0× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 40.8% | 40.2% | 41.1% | 10 |
| 1960s | 38.4% | 37.2% | 39.6% | 10 |
| 1970s | 36.5% | 35.8% | 37.3% | 10 |
| 1980s | 35.5% | 35.4% | 35.6% | 10 |
| 1990s | 35.3% | 35.0% | 35.6% | 10 |
| 2000s | 36.5% | 35.7% | 37.2% | 10 |
| 2010s | 38.0% | 37.4% | 38.4% | 10 |
| 2020s | 38.0% | 37.8% | 38.3% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Germany
- 140 Monaco 38.4% compare
- 141 Turkmenistan 38.4% compare
- 142 Cayman Islands 38.3% compare
- 144 Philippines 38.3% compare
- 145 Dominican Republic 38.2% compare
- 145 Paraguay 38.2% compare
More gender data for Germany
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 11,292 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -0.9917 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 71,489 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 71,489 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate -0.1556 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 344,036 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 363,213 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 348,332 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 367,516 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 355,306 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Germany?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Germany was 38.3% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Germany?
- The highest recorded value was 41.1% in 1955.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Germany?
- The lowest recorded value was 35.0% in 1995.
- How does Germany rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Germany ranks 143rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Germany?
- Over the last ten years it is up 1.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Germany data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.