Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Estonia
Estonia: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 31.8% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
31.8%
Change on year
up 2.4%
World rank
227th
of 236 countries
All-time high
37.3%
in 1950
All-time low
28.3%
in 1995
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Estonia, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Estonia recorded 31.8% for probability that a man will outlive a woman in 2023.
Compared with earlier readings it is up 2.4% on the previous year and up 1.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Estonia peaked at 37.3% in 1950 and was at its lowest, 28.3%, in 1995.
Estonia ranks 227th of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Estonia, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 37.3% | — |
| 1951 | 37.1% | -0.4% |
| 1952 | 36.9% | -0.5% |
| 1953 | 36.8% | -0.3% |
| 1954 | 36.6% | -0.7% |
| 1955 | 36.3% | -0.7% |
| 1956 | 36.2% | -0.2% |
| 1957 | 36.1% | -0.5% |
| 1958 | 36.1% | +0.2% |
| 1959 | 36.1% | -0.1% |
| 1960 | 35.0% | -2.9% |
| 1961 | 35.1% | +0.3% |
| 1962 | 35.6% | +1.4% |
| 1963 | 34.8% | -2.4% |
| 1964 | 35.4% | +1.8% |
| 1965 | 35.1% | -0.9% |
| 1966 | 34.9% | -0.6% |
| 1967 | 34.0% | -2.8% |
| 1968 | 33.7% | -0.8% |
| 1969 | 32.9% | -2.4% |
| 1970 | 32.9% | +0.2% |
| 1971 | 33.2% | +0.9% |
| 1972 | 33.2% | +0.1% |
| 1973 | 33.7% | +1.3% |
| 1974 | 33.0% | -1.9% |
| 1975 | 32.2% | -2.6% |
| 1976 | 32.0% | -0.6% |
| 1977 | 32.4% | +1.5% |
| 1978 | 31.7% | -2.2% |
| 1979 | 32.0% | +0.7% |
| 1980 | 31.5% | -1.4% |
| 1981 | 31.9% | +1.0% |
| 1982 | 31.9% | +0.2% |
| 1983 | 31.5% | -1.4% |
| 1984 | 32.0% | +1.7% |
| 1985 | 31.6% | -1.3% |
| 1986 | 32.6% | +3.1% |
| 1987 | 33.0% | +1.4% |
| 1988 | 33.1% | +0.2% |
| 1989 | 33.0% | -0.2% |
| 1990 | 31.2% | -5.4% |
| 1991 | 30.9% | -1.0% |
| 1992 | 29.7% | -3.8% |
| 1993 | 29.4% | -1.2% |
| 1994 | 29.2% | -0.5% |
| 1995 | 28.3% | -3.2% |
| 1996 | 29.6% | +4.7% |
| 1997 | 29.7% | +0.3% |
| 1998 | 29.6% | -0.3% |
| 1999 | 29.9% | +0.9% |
| 2000 | 30.2% | +0.9% |
| 2001 | 29.2% | -3.2% |
| 2002 | 28.9% | -1.1% |
| 2003 | 29.5% | +2.0% |
| 2004 | 28.7% | -2.5% |
| 2005 | 29.0% | +1.0% |
| 2006 | 29.0% | -0.1% |
| 2007 | 28.4% | -2.1% |
| 2008 | 29.2% | +3.0% |
| 2009 | 29.7% | +1.6% |
| 2010 | 30.0% | +1.2% |
| 2011 | 30.2% | +0.6% |
| 2012 | 29.9% | -0.9% |
| 2013 | 31.3% | +4.6% |
| 2014 | 30.8% | -1.9% |
| 2015 | 31.4% | +2.0% |
| 2016 | 31.3% | -0.4% |
| 2017 | 31.3% | +0.0% |
| 2018 | 31.5% | +0.6% |
| 2019 | 31.6% | +0.5% |
| 2020 | 32.0% | +1.3% |
| 2021 | 30.8% | -3.9% |
| 2022 | 31.0% | +0.8% |
| 2023 | 31.8% | +2.4% |
Estonia compared with similar countries
- Estonia's 31.8% is below the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 83% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Estonia's 31.8% is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 85% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 36.6% | 36.1% | 37.3% | 10 |
| 1960s | 34.7% | 32.9% | 35.6% | 10 |
| 1970s | 32.6% | 31.7% | 33.7% | 10 |
| 1980s | 32.2% | 31.5% | 33.1% | 10 |
| 1990s | 29.8% | 28.3% | 31.2% | 10 |
| 2000s | 29.2% | 28.4% | 30.2% | 10 |
| 2010s | 30.9% | 29.9% | 31.6% | 10 |
| 2020s | 31.4% | 30.8% | 32.0% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Estonia
More gender data for Estonia
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 178.81 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -2.67 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 1,124 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 1,124 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate -0.1883 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 5,081 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 5,410 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 5,159 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 5,497 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 5,416 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Estonia?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Estonia was 31.8% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Estonia?
- The highest recorded value was 37.3% in 1950.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Estonia?
- The lowest recorded value was 28.3% in 1995.
- How does Estonia rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Estonia ranks 227th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Estonia?
- Over the last ten years it is up 1.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Estonia data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.