Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vanuatu
Vanuatu: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 40.3% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
40.3%
Change on year
down 0.1%
World rank
94th
of 236 countries
All-time high
48.8%
in 1951
All-time low
38.8%
in 2020
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vanuatu, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vanuatu stood at 40.3%.
The figure is down 0.1% on the previous year and up 1.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vanuatu peaked at 48.8% in 1951 and was at its lowest, 38.8%, in 2020.
That places Vanuatu 94th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vanuatu, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 47.4% | — |
| 1951 | 48.8% | +2.8% |
| 1952 | 47.4% | -2.8% |
| 1953 | 47.3% | -0.1% |
| 1954 | 47.4% | +0.1% |
| 1955 | 47.3% | -0.1% |
| 1956 | 47.3% | -0.1% |
| 1957 | 47.3% | +0.1% |
| 1958 | 47.3% | -0.0% |
| 1959 | 47.2% | -0.1% |
| 1960 | 47.2% | -0.0% |
| 1961 | 47.2% | -0.1% |
| 1962 | 47.1% | -0.3% |
| 1963 | 46.9% | -0.3% |
| 1964 | 46.4% | -1.0% |
| 1965 | 46.2% | -0.4% |
| 1966 | 46.1% | -0.4% |
| 1967 | 45.9% | -0.4% |
| 1968 | 45.8% | -0.3% |
| 1969 | 45.7% | -0.0% |
| 1970 | 45.6% | -0.3% |
| 1971 | 45.5% | -0.2% |
| 1972 | 45.4% | -0.3% |
| 1973 | 45.2% | -0.4% |
| 1974 | 45.1% | -0.2% |
| 1975 | 44.9% | -0.4% |
| 1976 | 44.7% | -0.4% |
| 1977 | 44.5% | -0.6% |
| 1978 | 44.0% | -1.0% |
| 1979 | 43.5% | -1.1% |
| 1980 | 43.3% | -0.5% |
| 1981 | 43.0% | -0.5% |
| 1982 | 42.7% | -0.7% |
| 1983 | 42.2% | -1.2% |
| 1984 | 41.6% | -1.4% |
| 1985 | 41.3% | -0.9% |
| 1986 | 40.8% | -1.2% |
| 1987 | 41.3% | +1.3% |
| 1988 | 40.4% | -2.3% |
| 1989 | 40.2% | -0.4% |
| 1990 | 39.9% | -0.7% |
| 1991 | 39.9% | -0.1% |
| 1992 | 39.8% | -0.2% |
| 1993 | 40.0% | +0.3% |
| 1994 | 39.8% | -0.5% |
| 1995 | 40.0% | +0.6% |
| 1996 | 40.1% | +0.3% |
| 1997 | 40.6% | +1.3% |
| 1998 | 40.8% | +0.5% |
| 1999 | 41.6% | +2.0% |
| 2000 | 41.2% | -1.1% |
| 2001 | 41.4% | +0.4% |
| 2002 | 41.4% | +0.0% |
| 2003 | 41.5% | +0.4% |
| 2004 | 41.7% | +0.3% |
| 2005 | 41.5% | -0.3% |
| 2006 | 41.1% | -1.1% |
| 2007 | 40.5% | -1.5% |
| 2008 | 40.1% | -0.8% |
| 2009 | 40.0% | -0.4% |
| 2010 | 39.8% | -0.4% |
| 2011 | 39.8% | -0.1% |
| 2012 | 39.7% | -0.2% |
| 2013 | 39.8% | +0.3% |
| 2014 | 40.1% | +0.7% |
| 2015 | 40.2% | +0.2% |
| 2016 | 40.4% | +0.4% |
| 2017 | 40.6% | +0.6% |
| 2018 | 40.5% | -0.3% |
| 2019 | 40.4% | -0.1% |
| 2020 | 38.8% | -4.0% |
| 2021 | 40.3% | +3.9% |
| 2022 | 40.3% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | 40.3% | -0.1% |
Vanuatu compared with similar countries
- Vanuatu's 40.3% is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 41.9%, 96% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Vanuatu's 40.3% is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 40.0%, 1.0× the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 47.5% | 47.2% | 48.8% | 10 |
| 1960s | 46.4% | 45.7% | 47.2% | 10 |
| 1970s | 44.8% | 43.5% | 45.6% | 10 |
| 1980s | 41.7% | 40.2% | 43.3% | 10 |
| 1990s | 40.3% | 39.8% | 41.6% | 10 |
| 2000s | 41.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | 10 |
| 2010s | 40.1% | 39.7% | 40.6% | 10 |
| 2020s | 39.9% | 38.8% | 40.3% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Vanuatu
More gender data for Vanuatu
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 133.22 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth 0.7563 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 239.2 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 239.2 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 2.81 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 4,343 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 4,637 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 4,300 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 4,590 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 4,274 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vanuatu?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Vanuatu was 40.3% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Vanuatu?
- The highest recorded value was 48.8% in 1951.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Vanuatu?
- The lowest recorded value was 38.8% in 2020.
- How does Vanuatu rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Vanuatu ranks 94th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Vanuatu?
- Over the last ten years it is up 1.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Vanuatu data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.