Probability that a man will outlive a woman in France
France: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 36.5% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
36.5%
Change on year
up 3.8%
World rank
182nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
49.1%
in 1858
All-time low
25.5%
in 1915
Years of data
208
1816–2023
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in France, 1816–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability that a man will outlive a woman in France is 36.5%, measured in 2023.
That represents a change of up 3.8% on the previous year and up 3.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in France peaked at 49.1% in 1858 and was at its lowest, 25.5%, in 1915.
France ranks 182nd of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 208 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in France, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1816 | 48.0% | — |
| 1817 | 47.9% | -0.1% |
| 1818 | 48.9% | +2.0% |
| 1819 | 48.6% | -0.5% |
| 1820 | 48.6% | -0.1% |
| 1821 | 48.8% | +0.5% |
| 1822 | 48.6% | -0.5% |
| 1823 | 48.4% | -0.3% |
| 1824 | 48.5% | +0.1% |
| 1825 | 48.9% | +1.0% |
| 1826 | 48.8% | -0.2% |
| 1827 | 48.4% | -0.8% |
| 1828 | 48.4% | +0.0% |
| 1829 | 48.2% | -0.4% |
| 1830 | 48.4% | +0.4% |
| 1831 | 48.3% | -0.2% |
| 1832 | 48.6% | +0.5% |
| 1833 | 48.5% | -0.2% |
| 1834 | 48.4% | -0.1% |
| 1835 | 48.1% | -0.7% |
| 1836 | 48.3% | +0.5% |
| 1837 | 48.7% | +0.8% |
| 1838 | 48.6% | -0.2% |
| 1839 | 48.7% | +0.2% |
| 1840 | 48.5% | -0.5% |
| 1841 | 48.0% | -1.0% |
| 1842 | 48.2% | +0.6% |
| 1843 | 48.6% | +0.8% |
| 1844 | 48.6% | -0.0% |
| 1845 | 48.7% | +0.2% |
| 1846 | 48.7% | -0.1% |
| 1847 | 48.3% | -0.7% |
| 1848 | 48.3% | -0.1% |
| 1849 | 48.4% | +0.2% |
| 1850 | 48.5% | +0.2% |
| 1851 | 48.6% | +0.3% |
| 1852 | 48.6% | -0.1% |
| 1853 | 48.5% | -0.2% |
| 1854 | 48.2% | -0.6% |
| 1855 | 46.5% | -3.6% |
| 1856 | 47.8% | +3.0% |
| 1857 | 48.8% | +1.9% |
| 1858 | 49.1% | +0.7% |
| 1859 | 48.6% | -1.0% |
| 1860 | 48.7% | +0.3% |
| 1861 | 48.9% | +0.3% |
| 1862 | 48.6% | -0.6% |
| 1863 | 48.5% | -0.1% |
| 1864 | 48.3% | -0.4% |
| 1865 | 48.3% | -0.0% |
| 1866 | 48.3% | -0.0% |
| 1867 | 48.1% | -0.3% |
| 1868 | 47.9% | -0.5% |
| 1869 | 47.8% | -0.3% |
| 1870 | 46.3% | -3.1% |
| 1871 | 45.2% | -2.4% |
| 1872 | 47.6% | +5.3% |
| 1873 | 47.9% | +0.7% |
| 1874 | 47.9% | -0.0% |
| 1875 | 48.0% | +0.1% |
| 1876 | 47.5% | -0.9% |
| 1877 | 47.7% | +0.3% |
| 1878 | 47.7% | -0.1% |
| 1879 | 47.5% | -0.4% |
| 1880 | 47.8% | +0.6% |
| 1881 | 47.5% | -0.6% |
| 1882 | 47.3% | -0.4% |
| 1883 | 47.3% | -0.1% |
| 1884 | 47.2% | -0.1% |
| 1885 | 47.2% | -0.1% |
| 1886 | 47.2% | +0.1% |
| 1887 | 47.3% | +0.1% |
| 1888 | 46.8% | -1.1% |
| 1889 | 46.9% | +0.3% |
| 1890 | 47.0% | +0.1% |
| 1891 | 46.9% | -0.1% |
| 1892 | 46.8% | -0.1% |
| 1893 | 46.6% | -0.4% |
| 1894 | 46.4% | -0.6% |
| 1895 | 46.4% | +0.1% |
| 1896 | 46.4% | -0.2% |
| 1897 | 46.3% | -0.2% |
| 1898 | 46.3% | +0.0% |
| 1899 | 46.1% | -0.4% |
| 1900 | 45.9% | -0.5% |
| 1901 | 45.8% | -0.2% |
| 1902 | 45.8% | +0.1% |
| 1903 | 46.0% | +0.3% |
| 1904 | 46.0% | -0.0% |
| 1905 | 45.5% | -1.0% |
| 1906 | 45.4% | -0.2% |
| 1907 | 45.1% | -0.6% |
| 1908 | 45.1% | -0.2% |
| 1909 | 44.9% | -0.4% |
| 1910 | 44.9% | +0.0% |
| 1911 | 45.3% | +0.8% |
| 1912 | 44.5% | -1.6% |
| 1913 | 44.7% | +0.4% |
| 1914 | 26.7% | -40.3% |
| 1915 | 25.5% | -4.3% |
| 1916 | 29.4% | +15.0% |
| 1917 | 34.0% | +15.6% |
| 1918 | 36.3% | +7.0% |
| 1919 | 43.0% | +18.5% |
| 1920 | 45.2% | +5.0% |
| 1921 | 44.7% | -1.1% |
| 1922 | 44.4% | -0.6% |
| 1923 | 44.3% | -0.3% |
| 1924 | 43.8% | -1.1% |
| 1925 | 43.5% | -0.8% |
| 1926 | 43.8% | +0.8% |
| 1927 | 44.0% | +0.4% |
| 1928 | 43.9% | -0.2% |
| 1929 | 43.5% | -0.8% |
| 1930 | 42.8% | -1.7% |
| 1931 | 43.0% | +0.4% |
| 1932 | 42.7% | -0.6% |
| 1933 | 42.4% | -0.7% |
| 1934 | 41.6% | -2.0% |
| 1935 | 41.5% | -0.2% |
| 1936 | 41.2% | -0.7% |
| 1937 | 41.0% | -0.5% |
| 1938 | 40.8% | -0.6% |
| 1939 | 40.6% | -0.4% |
| 1940 | 31.2% | -23.1% |
| 1941 | 39.0% | +25.0% |
| 1942 | 38.8% | -0.6% |
| 1943 | 39.0% | +0.6% |
| 1944 | 36.9% | -5.4% |
| 1945 | 41.0% | +11.3% |
| 1946 | 41.7% | +1.7% |
| 1947 | 41.1% | -1.6% |
| 1948 | 39.8% | -3.0% |
| 1949 | 40.5% | +1.7% |
| 1950 | 39.8% | -1.9% |
| 1951 | 39.5% | -0.7% |
| 1952 | 39.2% | -0.7% |
| 1953 | 38.7% | -1.3% |
| 1954 | 38.4% | -0.8% |
| 1955 | 38.0% | -1.1% |
| 1956 | 37.4% | -1.6% |
| 1957 | 37.0% | -1.0% |
| 1958 | 37.5% | +1.4% |
| 1959 | 37.2% | -0.8% |
| 1960 | 36.7% | -1.3% |
| 1961 | 36.4% | -1.0% |
| 1962 | 36.1% | -0.7% |
| 1963 | 35.7% | -1.1% |
| 1964 | 35.6% | -0.3% |
| 1965 | 35.2% | -1.3% |
| 1966 | 35.2% | +0.1% |
| 1967 | 34.9% | -1.0% |
| 1968 | 34.7% | -0.5% |
| 1969 | 34.4% | -0.7% |
| 1970 | 34.8% | +1.1% |
| 1971 | 34.5% | -0.8% |
| 1972 | 34.3% | -0.6% |
| 1973 | 34.3% | -0.1% |
| 1974 | 33.9% | -1.1% |
| 1975 | 33.6% | -0.7% |
| 1976 | 33.3% | -1.0% |
| 1977 | 33.2% | -0.3% |
| 1978 | 33.0% | -0.8% |
| 1979 | 32.9% | -0.2% |
| 1980 | 32.8% | -0.2% |
| 1981 | 32.9% | +0.1% |
| 1982 | 32.9% | +0.1% |
| 1983 | 32.9% | -0.1% |
| 1984 | 32.7% | -0.5% |
| 1985 | 32.5% | -0.5% |
| 1986 | 32.6% | +0.1% |
| 1987 | 32.6% | -0.1% |
| 1988 | 32.8% | +0.9% |
| 1989 | 32.7% | -0.4% |
| 1990 | 32.7% | +0.0% |
| 1991 | 32.7% | -0.0% |
| 1992 | 32.7% | -0.1% |
| 1993 | 32.8% | +0.3% |
| 1994 | 32.8% | +0.0% |
| 1995 | 32.8% | +0.1% |
| 1996 | 32.8% | -0.1% |
| 1997 | 33.0% | +0.7% |
| 1998 | 33.0% | +0.1% |
| 1999 | 33.2% | +0.6% |
| 2000 | 33.2% | +0.1% |
| 2001 | 33.4% | +0.4% |
| 2002 | 33.7% | +0.9% |
| 2003 | 33.9% | +0.7% |
| 2004 | 33.8% | -0.4% |
| 2005 | 33.9% | +0.2% |
| 2006 | 34.1% | +0.8% |
| 2007 | 34.1% | -0.1% |
| 2008 | 34.5% | +1.2% |
| 2009 | 34.7% | +0.6% |
| 2010 | 34.8% | +0.1% |
| 2011 | 34.9% | +0.3% |
| 2012 | 35.2% | +0.8% |
| 2013 | 35.3% | +0.3% |
| 2014 | 35.5% | +0.7% |
| 2015 | 35.6% | +0.2% |
| 2016 | 35.8% | +0.7% |
| 2017 | 36.1% | +0.8% |
| 2018 | 36.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019 | 36.3% | +0.6% |
| 2020 | 35.7% | -1.8% |
| 2021 | 35.8% | +0.3% |
| 2022 | 35.2% | -1.7% |
| 2023 | 36.5% | +3.8% |
France compared with similar countries
- France's 36.5% is below the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 96% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- France's 36.5% is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 98% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Probability that a man will outlive a woman in France changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1914 | -40.3% | 44.7% | 26.7% |
| 1941 | +25.0% | 31.2% | 39.0% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1810s | 48.3% | 47.9% | 48.9% | 4 |
| 1820s | 48.6% | 48.2% | 48.9% | 10 |
| 1830s | 48.5% | 48.1% | 48.7% | 10 |
| 1840s | 48.4% | 48.0% | 48.7% | 10 |
| 1850s | 48.3% | 46.5% | 49.1% | 10 |
| 1860s | 48.3% | 47.8% | 48.9% | 10 |
| 1870s | 47.3% | 45.2% | 48.0% | 10 |
| 1880s | 47.2% | 46.8% | 47.8% | 10 |
| 1890s | 46.5% | 46.1% | 47.0% | 10 |
| 1900s | 45.5% | 44.9% | 46.0% | 10 |
| 1910s | 37.4% | 25.5% | 45.3% | 10 |
| 1920s | 44.1% | 43.5% | 45.2% | 10 |
| 1930s | 41.8% | 40.6% | 43.0% | 10 |
| 1940s | 38.9% | 31.2% | 41.7% | 10 |
| 1950s | 38.3% | 37.0% | 39.8% | 10 |
| 1960s | 35.5% | 34.4% | 36.7% | 10 |
| 1970s | 33.8% | 32.9% | 34.8% | 10 |
| 1980s | 32.7% | 32.5% | 32.9% | 10 |
| 1990s | 32.8% | 32.7% | 33.2% | 10 |
| 2000s | 33.9% | 33.2% | 34.7% | 10 |
| 2010s | 35.6% | 34.8% | 36.3% | 10 |
| 2020s | 35.8% | 35.2% | 36.5% | 4 |
Countries ranked near France
More gender data for France
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 10,528 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -0.9027 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 58,516 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 58,516 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 0.327 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 310,512 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 325,288 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 312,212 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 326,662 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 325,263 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in France?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in France was 36.5% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in France?
- The highest recorded value was 49.1% in 1858.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in France?
- The lowest recorded value was 25.5% in 1915.
- How does France rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- France ranks 182nd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in France?
- Over the last ten years it is up 3.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this France data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.