Probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Caledonia
New Caledonia: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 39.5% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Caledonia, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Caledonia is 39.5%, measured in 2023.
The figure is up 0.8% on the previous year and up 4.4% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Caledonia peaked at 40.7% in 1950 and was at its lowest, 36.5%, in 1986.
That places New Caledonia 114th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Caledonia, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 40.7% | — |
| 1951 | 40.6% | -0.2% |
| 1952 | 40.5% | -0.3% |
| 1953 | 40.4% | -0.2% |
| 1954 | 40.3% | -0.1% |
| 1955 | 40.3% | -0.0% |
| 1956 | 40.3% | -0.1% |
| 1957 | 40.2% | -0.1% |
| 1958 | 40.2% | -0.1% |
| 1959 | 40.1% | -0.1% |
| 1960 | 40.0% | -0.2% |
| 1961 | 39.9% | -0.3% |
| 1962 | 39.8% | -0.4% |
| 1963 | 39.6% | -0.4% |
| 1964 | 39.4% | -0.5% |
| 1965 | 39.2% | -0.4% |
| 1966 | 39.1% | -0.4% |
| 1967 | 39.0% | -0.3% |
| 1968 | 38.9% | -0.2% |
| 1969 | 38.9% | -0.1% |
| 1970 | 38.8% | -0.1% |
| 1971 | 38.8% | -0.1% |
| 1972 | 38.7% | -0.1% |
| 1973 | 38.6% | -0.4% |
| 1974 | 38.5% | -0.3% |
| 1975 | 38.3% | -0.4% |
| 1976 | 38.1% | -0.4% |
| 1977 | 38.0% | -0.5% |
| 1978 | 37.8% | -0.5% |
| 1979 | 37.6% | -0.5% |
| 1980 | 37.4% | -0.5% |
| 1981 | 37.3% | -0.3% |
| 1982 | 37.0% | -0.7% |
| 1983 | 36.8% | -0.5% |
| 1984 | 36.7% | -0.4% |
| 1985 | 36.6% | -0.3% |
| 1986 | 36.5% | -0.2% |
| 1987 | 36.5% | +0.0% |
| 1988 | 36.6% | +0.2% |
| 1989 | 36.7% | +0.3% |
| 1990 | 36.8% | +0.3% |
| 1991 | 36.9% | +0.2% |
| 1992 | 36.9% | +0.0% |
| 1993 | 36.8% | -0.2% |
| 1994 | 36.7% | -0.4% |
| 1995 | 36.6% | -0.3% |
| 1996 | 36.5% | -0.1% |
| 1997 | 36.6% | +0.2% |
| 1998 | 36.9% | +0.8% |
| 1999 | 37.3% | +1.1% |
| 2000 | 37.8% | +1.2% |
| 2001 | 38.1% | +1.0% |
| 2002 | 38.4% | +0.8% |
| 2003 | 38.6% | +0.3% |
| 2004 | 38.5% | -0.2% |
| 2005 | 38.3% | -0.5% |
| 2006 | 38.0% | -0.7% |
| 2007 | 37.8% | -0.7% |
| 2008 | 37.6% | -0.5% |
| 2009 | 37.5% | -0.3% |
| 2010 | 37.5% | -0.1% |
| 2011 | 37.5% | +0.1% |
| 2012 | 37.6% | +0.3% |
| 2013 | 37.8% | +0.4% |
| 2014 | 38.0% | +0.6% |
| 2015 | 38.3% | +0.8% |
| 2016 | 38.8% | +1.2% |
| 2017 | 39.4% | +1.5% |
| 2018 | 39.9% | +1.4% |
| 2019 | 40.0% | +0.2% |
| 2020 | 39.3% | -1.8% |
| 2021 | 37.3% | -5.0% |
| 2022 | 39.1% | +4.8% |
| 2023 | 39.5% | +0.8% |
New Caledonia compared with similar countries
- New Caledonia's 39.5% is above the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 1.0× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- New Caledonia's 39.5% is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 40.0%, 99% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 40.4% | 40.1% | 40.7% | 10 |
| 1960s | 39.4% | 38.9% | 40.0% | 10 |
| 1970s | 38.3% | 37.6% | 38.8% | 10 |
| 1980s | 36.8% | 36.5% | 37.4% | 10 |
| 1990s | 36.8% | 36.5% | 37.3% | 10 |
| 2000s | 38.1% | 37.5% | 38.6% | 10 |
| 2010s | 38.5% | 37.5% | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2020s | 38.8% | 37.3% | 39.5% | 4 |
Countries ranked near New Caledonia
More gender data for New Caledonia
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 61.52 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -0.2254 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 246.05 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 246.05 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 1.01 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 1,978 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 2,091 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 1,995 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 2,107 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 2,009 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Caledonia?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in New Caledonia was 39.5% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in New Caledonia?
- The highest recorded value was 40.7% in 1950.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in New Caledonia?
- The lowest recorded value was 36.5% in 1986.
- How does New Caledonia rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- New Caledonia ranks 114th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in New Caledonia?
- Over the last ten years it is up 4.4%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this New Caledonia data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.