Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Sweden
Sweden: Probability that a man will outlive a woman was 40.2% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Sweden, 1751–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
The most recent figure for probability that a man will outlive a woman in Sweden is 40.2%, measured in 2023.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 2.1% on the previous year and down 0.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability that a man will outlive a woman in Sweden peaked at 48.6% in 1779 and was at its lowest, 35.7%, in 1986.
That places Sweden 95th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 273 years of available data.
Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Sweden, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1751 | 47.0% | — |
| 1752 | 47.4% | +0.9% |
| 1753 | 46.9% | -1.0% |
| 1754 | 46.9% | -0.1% |
| 1755 | 47.8% | +2.0% |
| 1756 | 46.9% | -1.9% |
| 1757 | 47.5% | +1.4% |
| 1758 | 46.9% | -1.4% |
| 1759 | 46.4% | -1.0% |
| 1760 | 46.9% | +1.0% |
| 1761 | 47.2% | +0.6% |
| 1762 | 47.7% | +1.2% |
| 1763 | 47.4% | -0.8% |
| 1764 | 46.7% | -1.4% |
| 1765 | 46.3% | -0.9% |
| 1766 | 46.7% | +0.9% |
| 1767 | 46.1% | -1.3% |
| 1768 | 47.5% | +3.1% |
| 1769 | 48.2% | +1.5% |
| 1770 | 47.8% | -1.0% |
| 1771 | 47.1% | -1.4% |
| 1772 | 46.4% | -1.4% |
| 1773 | 48.4% | +4.2% |
| 1774 | 48.5% | +0.3% |
| 1775 | 48.0% | -1.2% |
| 1776 | 47.4% | -1.3% |
| 1777 | 47.8% | +0.8% |
| 1778 | 47.7% | -0.2% |
| 1779 | 48.6% | +2.1% |
| 1780 | 47.1% | -3.1% |
| 1781 | 47.2% | +0.2% |
| 1782 | 46.6% | -1.3% |
| 1783 | 46.6% | -0.1% |
| 1784 | 47.8% | +2.6% |
| 1785 | 47.7% | -0.2% |
| 1786 | 46.9% | -1.6% |
| 1787 | 46.6% | -0.6% |
| 1788 | 47.2% | +1.2% |
| 1789 | 44.0% | -6.8% |
| 1790 | 46.6% | +6.0% |
| 1791 | 47.6% | +2.1% |
| 1792 | 47.0% | -1.1% |
| 1793 | 47.5% | +0.9% |
| 1794 | 47.1% | -0.7% |
| 1795 | 47.4% | +0.7% |
| 1796 | 47.1% | -0.6% |
| 1797 | 46.8% | -0.7% |
| 1798 | 46.7% | -0.2% |
| 1799 | 46.4% | -0.7% |
| 1800 | 47.8% | +3.1% |
| 1801 | 47.4% | -0.9% |
| 1802 | 46.6% | -1.7% |
| 1803 | 46.7% | +0.2% |
| 1804 | 46.4% | -0.7% |
| 1805 | 47.0% | +1.3% |
| 1806 | 47.6% | +1.3% |
| 1807 | 47.4% | -0.5% |
| 1808 | 46.1% | -2.7% |
| 1809 | 45.9% | -0.5% |
| 1810 | 46.6% | +1.5% |
| 1811 | 46.5% | -0.1% |
| 1812 | 46.1% | -0.8% |
| 1813 | 45.7% | -0.9% |
| 1814 | 46.8% | +2.2% |
| 1815 | 46.9% | +0.4% |
| 1816 | 46.0% | -1.9% |
| 1817 | 46.8% | +1.7% |
| 1818 | 45.9% | -1.9% |
| 1819 | 46.5% | +1.4% |
| 1820 | 46.4% | -0.2% |
| 1821 | 46.9% | +1.0% |
| 1822 | 45.4% | -3.1% |
| 1823 | 45.0% | -0.8% |
| 1824 | 44.9% | -0.3% |
| 1825 | 44.7% | -0.4% |
| 1826 | 44.9% | +0.4% |
| 1827 | 45.5% | +1.2% |
| 1828 | 44.8% | -1.4% |
| 1829 | 45.0% | +0.3% |
| 1830 | 44.6% | -0.8% |
| 1831 | 45.2% | +1.4% |
| 1832 | 46.2% | +2.2% |
| 1833 | 45.4% | -1.8% |
| 1834 | 45.2% | -0.5% |
| 1835 | 45.0% | -0.4% |
| 1836 | 45.1% | +0.4% |
| 1837 | 45.3% | +0.3% |
| 1838 | 45.1% | -0.4% |
| 1839 | 46.0% | +1.9% |
| 1840 | 45.2% | -1.7% |
| 1841 | 45.2% | +0.2% |
| 1842 | 45.2% | -0.2% |
| 1843 | 45.6% | +0.9% |
| 1844 | 43.9% | -3.7% |
| 1845 | 44.4% | +1.0% |
| 1846 | 45.8% | +3.1% |
| 1847 | 45.8% | +0.1% |
| 1848 | 45.0% | -1.7% |
| 1849 | 44.8% | -0.4% |
| 1850 | 44.3% | -1.1% |
| 1851 | 44.5% | +0.5% |
| 1852 | 44.8% | +0.5% |
| 1853 | 45.8% | +2.3% |
| 1854 | 45.7% | -0.1% |
| 1855 | 46.2% | +1.1% |
| 1856 | 46.0% | -0.5% |
| 1857 | 46.2% | +0.5% |
| 1858 | 46.7% | +1.1% |
| 1859 | 46.0% | -1.5% |
| 1860 | 45.7% | -0.6% |
| 1861 | 45.8% | +0.2% |
| 1862 | 46.6% | +1.8% |
| 1863 | 46.4% | -0.6% |
| 1864 | 46.3% | -0.2% |
| 1865 | 45.7% | -1.1% |
| 1866 | 45.8% | +0.1% |
| 1867 | 45.5% | -0.7% |
| 1868 | 45.6% | +0.4% |
| 1869 | 46.3% | +1.4% |
| 1870 | 45.9% | -0.9% |
| 1871 | 45.9% | +0.1% |
| 1872 | 45.7% | -0.5% |
| 1873 | 46.1% | +0.9% |
| 1874 | 45.9% | -0.5% |
| 1875 | 45.8% | -0.3% |
| 1876 | 46.5% | +1.6% |
| 1877 | 46.0% | -0.9% |
| 1878 | 47.0% | +2.2% |
| 1879 | 46.8% | -0.6% |
| 1880 | 46.5% | -0.5% |
| 1881 | 46.3% | -0.5% |
| 1882 | 46.4% | +0.1% |
| 1883 | 46.4% | +0.1% |
| 1884 | 46.3% | -0.2% |
| 1885 | 46.4% | +0.1% |
| 1886 | 46.8% | +0.9% |
| 1887 | 46.6% | -0.3% |
| 1888 | 46.8% | +0.4% |
| 1889 | 47.1% | +0.6% |
| 1890 | 46.9% | -0.5% |
| 1891 | 46.5% | -0.7% |
| 1892 | 47.1% | +1.2% |
| 1893 | 46.7% | -1.0% |
| 1894 | 47.2% | +1.1% |
| 1895 | 46.7% | -0.9% |
| 1896 | 46.9% | +0.4% |
| 1897 | 46.7% | -0.6% |
| 1898 | 46.4% | -0.6% |
| 1899 | 46.6% | +0.6% |
| 1900 | 46.5% | -0.3% |
| 1901 | 47.0% | +1.0% |
| 1902 | 47.0% | +0.0% |
| 1903 | 46.5% | -1.1% |
| 1904 | 47.0% | +1.1% |
| 1905 | 46.8% | -0.3% |
| 1906 | 46.8% | +0.0% |
| 1907 | 46.8% | -0.0% |
| 1908 | 47.0% | +0.4% |
| 1909 | 47.0% | -0.0% |
| 1910 | 46.6% | -0.8% |
| 1911 | 46.2% | -0.8% |
| 1912 | 46.4% | +0.4% |
| 1913 | 46.1% | -0.6% |
| 1914 | 46.6% | +1.1% |
| 1915 | 46.8% | +0.3% |
| 1916 | 46.9% | +0.2% |
| 1917 | 46.6% | -0.5% |
| 1918 | 46.5% | -0.4% |
| 1919 | 46.7% | +0.5% |
| 1920 | 46.8% | +0.1% |
| 1921 | 46.8% | +0.0% |
| 1922 | 48.0% | +2.7% |
| 1923 | 46.8% | -2.6% |
| 1924 | 47.2% | +0.7% |
| 1925 | 47.0% | -0.4% |
| 1926 | 47.2% | +0.5% |
| 1927 | 47.2% | +0.1% |
| 1928 | 47.2% | +0.0% |
| 1929 | 47.2% | +0.0% |
| 1930 | 47.3% | +0.1% |
| 1931 | 47.8% | +1.0% |
| 1932 | 47.3% | -0.9% |
| 1933 | 46.9% | -1.0% |
| 1934 | 46.9% | +0.0% |
| 1935 | 46.9% | +0.0% |
| 1936 | 46.8% | -0.1% |
| 1937 | 47.0% | +0.2% |
| 1938 | 45.5% | -3.0% |
| 1939 | 46.3% | +1.7% |
| 1940 | 45.9% | -0.8% |
| 1941 | 46.3% | +0.8% |
| 1942 | 45.7% | -1.3% |
| 1943 | 46.0% | +0.7% |
| 1944 | 45.6% | -0.8% |
| 1945 | 46.7% | +2.2% |
| 1946 | 46.3% | -0.8% |
| 1947 | 46.0% | -0.6% |
| 1948 | 45.6% | -1.0% |
| 1949 | 45.6% | +0.0% |
| 1950 | 45.5% | -0.2% |
| 1951 | 45.3% | -0.4% |
| 1952 | 45.0% | -0.6% |
| 1953 | 44.9% | -0.3% |
| 1954 | 44.5% | -0.9% |
| 1955 | 44.1% | -0.9% |
| 1956 | 43.4% | -1.5% |
| 1957 | 43.3% | -0.3% |
| 1958 | 43.6% | +0.7% |
| 1959 | 43.0% | -1.3% |
| 1960 | 42.5% | -1.3% |
| 1961 | 42.3% | -0.4% |
| 1962 | 41.4% | -2.2% |
| 1963 | 41.3% | -0.0% |
| 1964 | 41.0% | -0.9% |
| 1965 | 40.5% | -1.1% |
| 1966 | 40.1% | -1.1% |
| 1967 | 39.7% | -0.8% |
| 1968 | 39.9% | +0.4% |
| 1969 | 39.3% | -1.4% |
| 1970 | 39.2% | -0.3% |
| 1971 | 38.1% | -2.8% |
| 1972 | 38.0% | -0.3% |
| 1973 | 37.4% | -1.7% |
| 1974 | 37.2% | -0.5% |
| 1975 | 37.1% | -0.2% |
| 1976 | 36.6% | -1.2% |
| 1977 | 36.1% | -1.4% |
| 1978 | 36.0% | -0.5% |
| 1979 | 35.8% | -0.4% |
| 1980 | 36.1% | +0.9% |
| 1981 | 35.9% | -0.6% |
| 1982 | 36.0% | +0.3% |
| 1983 | 35.7% | -0.8% |
| 1984 | 35.8% | +0.3% |
| 1985 | 35.8% | +0.1% |
| 1986 | 35.7% | -0.3% |
| 1987 | 35.8% | +0.5% |
| 1988 | 36.1% | +0.9% |
| 1989 | 36.2% | +0.2% |
| 1990 | 36.5% | +0.6% |
| 1991 | 36.4% | -0.2% |
| 1992 | 36.7% | +0.9% |
| 1993 | 36.9% | +0.4% |
| 1994 | 36.9% | +0.1% |
| 1995 | 36.8% | -0.2% |
| 1996 | 37.2% | +1.1% |
| 1997 | 37.1% | -0.5% |
| 1998 | 37.2% | +0.4% |
| 1999 | 37.7% | +1.4% |
| 2000 | 38.2% | +1.3% |
| 2001 | 38.6% | +1.0% |
| 2002 | 38.7% | +0.4% |
| 2003 | 38.3% | -1.0% |
| 2004 | 38.9% | +1.4% |
| 2005 | 38.7% | -0.5% |
| 2006 | 39.0% | +0.7% |
| 2007 | 39.6% | +1.7% |
| 2008 | 39.5% | -0.5% |
| 2009 | 39.6% | +0.5% |
| 2010 | 39.6% | +0.0% |
| 2011 | 39.8% | +0.4% |
| 2012 | 40.3% | +1.3% |
| 2013 | 40.6% | +0.8% |
| 2014 | 40.4% | -0.7% |
| 2015 | 40.5% | +0.2% |
| 2016 | 40.8% | +1.0% |
| 2017 | 41.2% | +0.9% |
| 2018 | 40.9% | -0.8% |
| 2019 | 41.0% | +0.3% |
| 2020 | 40.2% | -2.0% |
| 2021 | 40.7% | +1.1% |
| 2022 | 41.1% | +1.2% |
| 2023 | 40.2% | -2.1% |
Sweden compared with similar countries
- Sweden's 40.2% is above the median for high income countries, which is 38.1%, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Sweden's 40.2% is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 37.2%, 1.1× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1750s | 47.1% | 46.4% | 47.8% | 9 |
| 1760s | 47.1% | 46.1% | 48.2% | 10 |
| 1770s | 47.8% | 46.4% | 48.6% | 10 |
| 1780s | 46.8% | 44.0% | 47.8% | 10 |
| 1790s | 47.0% | 46.4% | 47.6% | 10 |
| 1800s | 46.9% | 45.9% | 47.8% | 10 |
| 1810s | 46.4% | 45.7% | 46.9% | 10 |
| 1820s | 45.4% | 44.7% | 46.9% | 10 |
| 1830s | 45.3% | 44.6% | 46.2% | 10 |
| 1840s | 45.1% | 43.9% | 45.8% | 10 |
| 1850s | 45.6% | 44.3% | 46.7% | 10 |
| 1860s | 46.0% | 45.5% | 46.6% | 10 |
| 1870s | 46.2% | 45.7% | 47.0% | 10 |
| 1880s | 46.6% | 46.3% | 47.1% | 10 |
| 1890s | 46.8% | 46.4% | 47.2% | 10 |
| 1900s | 46.8% | 46.5% | 47.0% | 10 |
| 1910s | 46.6% | 46.1% | 46.9% | 10 |
| 1920s | 47.1% | 46.8% | 48.0% | 10 |
| 1930s | 46.9% | 45.5% | 47.8% | 10 |
| 1940s | 46.0% | 45.6% | 46.7% | 10 |
| 1950s | 44.3% | 43.0% | 45.5% | 10 |
| 1960s | 40.8% | 39.3% | 42.5% | 10 |
| 1970s | 37.1% | 35.8% | 39.2% | 10 |
| 1980s | 35.9% | 35.7% | 36.2% | 10 |
| 1990s | 36.9% | 36.4% | 37.7% | 10 |
| 2000s | 38.9% | 38.2% | 39.6% | 10 |
| 2010s | 40.5% | 39.6% | 41.2% | 10 |
| 2020s | 40.6% | 40.2% | 41.1% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Sweden
More gender data for Sweden
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) 1,663 (2030)
- Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth -1.5 % change on previous year (2030)
- Population 9,179 (2030)
- Working-age population (UN estimates and projections) 9,179 (2030)
- Population (UN estimates and projections), annual growth rate 0.6078 % change on previous year (2030)
- Age population, age 00, female, interpolated 47,810 (2025)
- Age population, age 00, male, interpolated 50,483 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, female, interpolated 48,381 (2025)
- Age population, age 01, male, interpolated 51,112 (2025)
- Age population, age 02, female, interpolated 50,315 (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability that a man will outlive a woman in Sweden?
- Probability that a man will outlive a woman in Sweden was 40.2% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Sweden?
- The highest recorded value was 48.6% in 1779.
- What is the lowest probability that a man will outlive a woman recorded in Sweden?
- The lowest recorded value was 35.7% in 1986.
- How does Sweden rank for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
- Sweden ranks 95th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability that a man will outlive a woman rising or falling in Sweden?
- Over the last ten years it is down 0.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Sweden data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.