Canada vs Papua New Guinea: Probability that a man will outlive a woman

Canada
39.9%
in 2023
Papua New Guinea
40.0%
in 2023
Canada rank
106th
Papua New Guinea rank
103rd

Probability that a man will outlive a woman over time

  • Canada
  • Papua New Guinea
01020304050192119722023

How they compare

Papua New Guinea currently reports 40.0% against 39.9% in Canada, a difference of 0.1%.

The two have swapped places 2 times across 74 shared years of data; in 1950 it was Papua New Guinea ahead.

Canada ranks 106th and Papua New Guinea ranks 103rd of 236 countries.

Papua New Guinea has averaged higher in every one of the 8 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade Canada Papua New Guinea Difference Ahead
1950s 40.7% 45.2% 4.5% Papua New Guinea
1960s 37.6% 44.6% 7.0% Papua New Guinea
1970s 35.6% 43.6% 8.0% Papua New Guinea
1980s 35.5% 42.6% 7.1% Papua New Guinea
1990s 36.6% 42.7% 6.1% Papua New Guinea
2000s 38.7% 43.0% 4.4% Papua New Guinea
2010s 40.2% 40.8% 0.6% Papua New Guinea
2020s 39.3% 39.6% 0.4% Papua New Guinea

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher probability that a man will outlive a woman, Canada or Papua New Guinea?
Papua New Guinea, at 40.0% against 39.9% in Canada as of 2023.
What is the difference in probability that a man will outlive a woman between Canada and Papua New Guinea?
0.1%, with Papua New Guinea ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Canada and Papua New Guinea?
74 years are reported by both, from 1950 to 2023.
How do Canada and Papua New Guinea rank globally for probability that a man will outlive a woman?
Canada ranks 106th and Papua New Guinea ranks 103rd of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data, published as Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Canada vs Papua New Guinea: Probability that a man will outlive a woman. Statizoid, drawing on Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 04 September 2026, from https://gender.statizoid.com/compare/probability-that-a-male-will-outlive-a-female/canada/papua-new-guinea/

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<a href="https://gender.statizoid.com/compare/probability-that-a-male-will-outlive-a-female/canada/papua-new-guinea/">Canada vs Papua New Guinea: Probability that a man will outlive a woman</a> — Statizoid

About this data

Indicator
Probability that a man will outlive a woman
Unit
%
Source
Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Bergeron-Boucher et al. (2022) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,722 data points, 1751–2023
Last refreshed

Probability that a male will live longer than a female if both are randomly selected from the population at birth.